Coupa Software Incorporated

NasdaqGS:COUP Stock Report

Market Cap: US$6.1b

Coupa Software Valuation

Is COUP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of COUP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: COUP ($80.97) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($83.05)

Significantly Below Fair Value: COUP is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for COUP?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

COUP key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue9.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA-51.8x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does COUP's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for COUP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8.6x
DV DoubleVerify Holdings
9x16.9%US$5.2b
FRSH Freshworks
8.8x15.2%US$5.3b
SMAR Smartsheet
5.4x14.3%US$5.1b
SPSC SPS Commerce
11.3x13.3%US$6.1b
COUP Coupa Software
7.5x16.0%US$6.1b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: COUP is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (7.5x) compared to the peer average (5.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does COUP's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Software Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a15.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a15.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: COUP is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (7.5x) compared to the US Software industry average (4.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is COUP's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

COUP PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio7.5x
Fair PS Ratio4.7x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: COUP is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (7.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst COUP forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
US$79.71
0%
4.9%US$81.00US$65.00n/a17
Apr ’25n/a
US$79.71
0%
4.9%US$81.00US$65.00n/a17
Mar ’25n/a
US$79.71
0%
4.9%US$81.00US$65.00n/a17
Feb ’25n/a
US$79.71
0%
4.9%US$81.00US$65.00n/a17
Jan ’25n/a
US$79.71
0%
4.9%US$81.00US$65.00n/a17
Dec ’24n/a
US$79.71
0%
4.9%US$81.00US$65.00n/a17
Nov ’24n/a
US$79.71
0%
4.9%US$81.00US$65.00n/a17
Oct ’24n/a
US$79.71
0%
4.9%US$81.00US$65.00n/a17
Sep ’24n/a
US$79.71
0%
4.9%US$81.00US$65.00n/a17
Aug ’24n/a
US$79.71
0%
4.9%US$81.00US$65.00n/a17
Jul ’24n/a
US$79.71
0%
4.9%US$81.00US$65.00n/a17
Jun ’24n/a
US$79.71
0%
4.9%US$81.00US$65.00n/a17
May ’24n/a
US$79.71
0%
4.9%US$81.00US$65.00n/a17
Apr ’24n/a
US$79.71
0%
4.9%US$81.00US$65.00n/a17
Mar ’24US$80.97
US$79.71
-1.6%
4.9%US$81.00US$65.00n/a17
Feb ’24US$79.85
US$78.95
-1.1%
6.5%US$81.00US$64.00n/a19
Jan ’24US$79.17
US$79.47
+0.4%
7.3%US$91.00US$64.00n/a19
Dec ’23US$64.43
US$72.19
+12.0%
20.3%US$108.00US$50.00n/a27
Nov ’23US$53.07
US$74.78
+40.9%
19.2%US$108.00US$55.00n/a27
Oct ’23US$58.80
US$85.52
+45.4%
55.9%US$320.00US$55.00n/a27
Sep ’23US$56.50
US$80.44
+42.4%
15.5%US$108.00US$55.00n/a25
Aug ’23US$66.38
US$82.35
+24.1%
14.3%US$108.00US$61.00n/a23
Jul ’23US$59.47
US$86.22
+45.0%
14.8%US$115.00US$64.00n/a23
Jun ’23US$68.69
US$91.70
+33.5%
20.4%US$140.00US$64.00n/a23
May ’23US$86.30
US$107.43
+24.5%
46.3%US$320.00US$65.00n/a23
Apr ’23US$102.76
US$102.52
-0.2%
48.5%US$320.00US$65.00n/a23

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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