HashiCorp Valuation

Is HCP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HCP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HCP ($33.82) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($0.52)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HCP is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HCP?

Key metric: As HCP is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for HCP. This is calculated by dividing HCP's market cap by their current revenue.
What is HCP's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio10.9x
SalesUS$627.63m
Market CapUS$6.82b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does HCP's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for HCP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.6x
U Unity Software
4.4x1.4%US$8.0b
COUP Coupa Software
7.5x16.0%US$6.1b
SMAR Smartsheet
7.5x14.1%US$7.8b
APPF AppFolio
10.9x16.2%US$8.2b
HCP HashiCorp
10.9x13.3%US$6.8b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: HCP is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (10.9x) compared to the peer average (7.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does HCP's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Software Industry?

81 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
VYX NCR Voyix
0.6x-23.2%US$2.04b
PGY Pagaya Technologies
0.7x15.8%US$634.91m
XPER Xperi
0.8x1.8%US$378.82m
0.5x1.1%US$351.48m
HCP 10.9xIndustry Avg. 5.1xNo. of Companies81PS048121620+
81 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: HCP is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (10.9x) compared to the US Software industry average (5.1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HCP's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HCP PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio10.9x
Fair PS Ratio7.1x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: HCP is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (10.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (7.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HCP forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$33.82
US$34.88
+3.1%
0.9%US$35.00US$34.00n/a8
Nov ’25US$33.92
US$34.88
+2.8%
0.9%US$35.00US$34.00n/a8
Oct ’25US$33.84
US$34.88
+3.1%
0.9%US$35.00US$34.00n/a8
Sep ’25US$33.94
US$34.86
+2.7%
1.0%US$35.00US$34.00n/a7
Aug ’25US$33.76
US$34.86
+3.2%
1.0%US$35.00US$34.00n/a7
Jul ’25US$33.66
US$34.86
+3.6%
1.0%US$35.00US$34.00n/a7
Jun ’25US$33.58
US$35.25
+5.0%
3.1%US$38.00US$34.00n/a8
May ’25US$32.62
US$32.73
+0.3%
15.8%US$38.00US$21.00n/a10
Apr ’25US$25.81
US$27.72
+7.4%
14.1%US$38.00US$21.00n/a17
Mar ’25US$25.87
US$25.78
-0.3%
17.6%US$38.00US$20.00n/a17
Feb ’25US$22.48
US$25.37
+12.9%
17.5%US$38.00US$20.00n/a17
Jan ’25US$23.64
US$25.31
+7.1%
18.3%US$38.00US$20.00n/a16
Dec ’24US$24.02
US$30.82
+28.3%
15.9%US$42.00US$21.00n/a17
Nov ’24US$19.61
US$31.75
+61.9%
13.5%US$42.00US$26.00US$33.9216
Oct ’24US$22.83
US$32.19
+41.0%
13.1%US$42.00US$26.00US$33.8416
Sep ’24US$27.65
US$32.44
+17.3%
12.6%US$42.00US$26.00US$33.9416
Aug ’24US$29.18
US$31.81
+9.0%
13.6%US$42.00US$26.00US$33.7616
Jul ’24US$26.18
US$32.31
+23.4%
12.6%US$42.00US$26.00US$33.6616
Jun ’24US$34.85
US$36.31
+4.2%
7.6%US$42.00US$32.00US$33.5816
May ’24US$27.13
US$36.31
+33.8%
7.6%US$42.00US$32.00US$32.6216
Apr ’24US$29.29
US$36.31
+24.0%
7.6%US$42.00US$32.00US$25.8116
Mar ’24US$28.89
US$36.07
+24.9%
9.0%US$42.00US$30.00US$25.8714
Feb ’24US$33.35
US$36.23
+8.6%
9.2%US$42.00US$30.00US$22.4813
Jan ’24US$27.34
US$37.75
+38.1%
8.5%US$42.00US$32.00US$23.6412
Dec ’23US$27.35
US$41.75
+52.7%
15.5%US$54.00US$27.00US$24.0212
Nov ’23US$30.28
US$43.50
+43.7%
11.7%US$54.00US$37.00US$19.6112

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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