Unity Software Valuation

Is U undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of U when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: U ($21.63) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($26.55)

Significantly Below Fair Value: U is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for U?

Key metric: As U is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for U. This is calculated by dividing U's market cap by their current revenue.
What is U's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio4.4x
SalesUS$1.97b
Market CapUS$7.98b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does U's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for U vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average6.8x
HCP HashiCorp
10.9x13.3%US$6.8b
SMAR Smartsheet
7.5x14.1%US$7.8b
OTEX Open Text
1.3x-0.4%US$7.5b
COUP Coupa Software
7.5x16.0%US$6.1b
U Unity Software
4.4x1.4%US$8.0b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: U is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.4x) compared to the peer average (6.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does U's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Software Industry?

81 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
VYX NCR Voyix
0.6x-23.2%US$2.04b
PGY Pagaya Technologies
0.7x15.8%US$634.91m
XPER Xperi
0.8x1.8%US$378.82m
0.5x1.1%US$351.48m
U 4.4xIndustry Avg. 5.1xNo. of Companies81PS048121620+
81 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: U is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.4x) compared to the US Software industry average (5.1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is U's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

U PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio4.4x
Fair PS Ratio4.1x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: U is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst U forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$21.63
US$21.87
+1.1%
18.1%US$30.00US$14.88n/a23
Nov ’25US$20.83
US$20.58
-1.2%
26.6%US$37.00US$10.00n/a21
Oct ’25US$21.59
US$20.36
-5.7%
28.2%US$37.00US$10.00n/a20
Sep ’25US$16.37
US$18.87
+15.3%
30.6%US$37.00US$10.00n/a20
Aug ’25US$15.35
US$24.80
+61.6%
30.1%US$45.00US$14.00n/a20
Jul ’25US$15.81
US$27.34
+73.0%
28.2%US$45.00US$14.00n/a22
Jun ’25US$18.27
US$27.92
+52.8%
26.8%US$45.00US$14.00n/a21
May ’25US$24.55
US$30.66
+24.9%
24.2%US$45.00US$16.00n/a22
Apr ’25US$26.61
US$30.66
+15.2%
24.2%US$45.00US$16.00n/a22
Mar ’25US$28.91
US$31.40
+8.6%
23.9%US$45.00US$16.00n/a22
Feb ’25US$31.97
US$34.66
+8.4%
29.6%US$55.00US$16.00n/a22
Jan ’25US$40.89
US$31.46
-23.1%
27.0%US$46.00US$16.00n/a21
Dec ’24US$32.52
US$30.59
-5.9%
29.0%US$46.00US$16.00n/a21
Nov ’24US$25.08
US$42.33
+68.8%
26.3%US$56.00US$16.00US$20.8322
Oct ’24US$31.39
US$43.87
+39.8%
25.1%US$56.00US$16.00US$21.5921
Sep ’24US$37.09
US$44.73
+20.6%
26.4%US$61.00US$12.00US$16.3721
Aug ’24US$45.30
US$40.95
-9.6%
31.4%US$66.00US$12.00US$15.3520
Jul ’24US$43.42
US$38.65
-11.0%
32.2%US$66.00US$12.00US$15.8120
Jun ’24US$30.12
US$36.11
+19.9%
32.2%US$66.00US$12.00US$18.2719
May ’24US$26.80
US$35.97
+34.2%
32.9%US$67.00US$12.00US$24.5519
Apr ’24US$32.44
US$36.25
+11.7%
33.3%US$67.00US$12.00US$26.6118
Mar ’24US$29.71
US$36.98
+24.5%
31.2%US$67.00US$16.00US$28.9118
Feb ’24US$36.54
US$37.13
+1.6%
38.6%US$71.00US$16.00US$31.9720
Jan ’24US$28.59
US$36.83
+28.8%
39.9%US$71.00US$16.00US$40.8920
Dec ’23US$40.64
US$37.17
-8.5%
38.8%US$71.00US$16.00US$32.5221
Nov ’23US$28.93
US$53.67
+85.5%
35.0%US$105.00US$22.00US$25.0818

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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