Stock Analysis

New Army AI Logistics Deal Could Be A Game Changer For C3.ai (AI)

  • Earlier in December, the U.S. Army’s Rapid Capabilities and Critical Technologies Office selected C3.ai to integrate AI-driven logistics applications into brigade command-and-control networks, using its Contested Logistics and Readiness tools to forecast parts, fuel, and munitions needs in contested environments.
  • This award, which builds on C3.ai’s existing deployments at the Defense Logistics Agency and U.S. Air Force, reinforces the company’s position as a trusted provider of mission-critical AI for federal agencies.
  • We’ll now explore how this new Army logistics deployment, alongside C3.ai’s broader federal pipeline, reshapes the company’s investment narrative.

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C3.ai Investment Narrative Recap

To own C3.ai, you need to believe its enterprise and government AI platforms can eventually scale into a durable business despite steep losses and uneven revenue. The new U.S. Army logistics award supports the core thesis that C3.ai can win complex, mission critical workloads, but does not by itself resolve the most pressing near term issues around declining revenue, margin pressure, and the company’s ability to turn pilots into larger, profitable deployments.

The Army RCCTO win fits neatly beside C3.ai’s recent U.S. Department of Health and Human Services engagement, where it is building a unified data foundation across NIH and CMS. Together, these contracts underline that federal agencies are still willing to trust C3.ai with large, operationally sensitive projects, which matters for investors watching whether solid public sector demand can offset weak commercial momentum and support a more credible path toward scaling recurring revenue.

Yet while headline federal wins grab attention, investors should also be aware of growing concerns around sustained operating losses and...

Read the full narrative on C3.ai (it's free!)

C3.ai's narrative projects $613.6 million revenue and $80.3 million earnings by 2028.

Uncover how C3.ai's forecasts yield a $14.67 fair value, in line with its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

AI 1-Year Stock Price Chart
AI 1-Year Stock Price Chart

Fifteen fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span roughly US$13 to US$40 per share, showing how far apart views on C3.ai really are. Before leaning toward any camp, you should weigh these opinions against the recent revenue decline and margin pressure that still hang over the company’s ability to translate contracts into profitable growth.

Explore 15 other fair value estimates on C3.ai - why the stock might be worth over 2x more than the current price!

Build Your Own C3.ai Narrative

Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

  • A great starting point for your C3.ai research is our analysis highlighting 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.
  • Our free C3.ai research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate C3.ai's overall financial health at a glance.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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About NYSE:AI

C3.ai

Operates as an enterprise artificial intelligence application software company.

Flawless balance sheet with very low risk.

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