Stock Analysis

Earnings Working Against Xunlei Limited's (NASDAQ:XNET) Share Price Following 30% Dive

NasdaqGS:XNET
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Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Xunlei Limited (NASDAQ:XNET) share price has dived 30% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 68% share price decline.

Since its price has dipped substantially, given close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 15x, you may consider Xunlei as an attractive investment with its 11.2x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.

For example, consider that Xunlei's financial performance has been poor lately as it's earnings have been in decline. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader market in the near future. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Our analysis indicates that XNET is potentially undervalued!

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NasdaqGS:XNET Price Based on Past Earnings November 1st 2022
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Xunlei will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Xunlei's Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Xunlei's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 41%. At least EPS has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 8.3% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.

In light of this, it's understandable that Xunlei's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

Xunlei's recently weak share price has pulled its P/E below most other companies. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Xunlei maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider market forecast, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Xunlei you should know about.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Xunlei. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that sit on P/E's below 20x and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.