Stock Analysis

Atlassian Corporation's (NASDAQ:TEAM) 25% Dip Still Leaving Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Its P/SRatio

NasdaqGS:TEAM
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The Atlassian Corporation (NASDAQ:TEAM) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 25%. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 29% in that time.

Although its price has dipped substantially, Atlassian may still be sending strong sell signals at present with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 8.4x, when you consider almost half of the companies in the Software industry in the United States have P/S ratios under 4.1x and even P/S lower than 1.6x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

View our latest analysis for Atlassian

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:TEAM Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 7th 2024

What Does Atlassian's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Recent times have been advantageous for Atlassian as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong revenue performance to persist, which has raised the P/S. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Keen to find out how analysts think Atlassian's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

Atlassian's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 23% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 109% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 19% per annum during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 18% each year, which is not materially different.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Atlassian's P/S is higher than its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Final Word

A significant share price dive has done very little to deflate Atlassian's very lofty P/S. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Given Atlassian's future revenue forecasts are in line with the wider industry, the fact that it trades at an elevated P/S is somewhat surprising. Right now we are uncomfortable with the relatively high share price as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. A positive change is needed in order to justify the current price-to-sales ratio.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Atlassian that you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.