Stock Analysis

Semantix, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:STIX) Low P/S No Reason For Excitement

OTCPK:STIX.F
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You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.3x Semantix, Inc. (NASDAQ:STIX) is definitely a stock worth checking out, seeing as almost half of all the Software companies in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 4.4x and even P/S above 12x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Semantix

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NasdaqGM:STIX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 2nd 2024

What Does Semantix's Recent Performance Look Like?

Recent times haven't been great for Semantix as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the uninspiring revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the growth of the P/S ratio. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Semantix.

How Is Semantix's Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Semantix's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 7.8%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 81% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the lone analyst covering the company suggest revenue growth is heading into negative territory, declining 28% over the next year. That's not great when the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 15%.

With this information, we are not surprised that Semantix is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.

What We Can Learn From Semantix's P/S?

We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Semantix's analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking revenue is contributing to its low P/S. As other companies in the industry are forecasting revenue growth, Semantix's poor outlook justifies its low P/S ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for Semantix (2 are potentially serious!) that you need to take into consideration.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Semantix, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Semantix is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.