Shopify (SHOP) Stock Overview
A commerce technology company, provides tools to start, scale, market, and run a business of various sizes in Canada, the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and Latin America. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 0/6 |
| Future Growth | 4/6 |
| Past Performance | 2/6 |
| Financial Health | 6/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
SHOP Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
Top Community Narratives
JO
Jolt_Communications
Community ContributorUS$6.85FV • 71.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
73.0%Revenue growth p.a.
3.1k
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0
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Shopify Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$121.26 |
| 52 Week High | US$182.19 |
| 52 Week Low | US$88.14 |
| Beta | 2.82 |
| 1 Month Change | 2.23% |
| 3 Month Change | -7.60% |
| 1 Year Change | 25.00% |
| 3 Year Change | 111.62% |
| 5 Year Change | 11.15% |
| Change since IPO | 4,621.96% |
Recent News & Updates
Shopify Preview: Expensive, But Not Overhyped Ahead Of Q1
Apr 27
Shopify Inc. (SHOP): The "Agentic Commerce" Pioneer and the $131 Resistance
Shopify Inc. (SHOP) , the foundational operating system for modern commerce, enters Friday, April 17, 2026 , amidst a powerful bullish pivot.
SHOP: Agentic Commerce Role Will Face Tighter Multiples And AI Disintermediation Tests
Shopify's analyst price targets have recently moved both up and down around the $150 to $165 range, with changes often tied to views on AI driven commerce opportunities, competitive positioning after OpenAI's checkout rollback, and a reassessment of sector valuation multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Shopify points to a mixed but increasingly debated outlook, with bullish views on its role in AI enabled commerce set against a wave of more conservative price target resets clustered in the $150 to $165 range.Recent updates
Shopify Preview: Expensive, But Not Overhyped Ahead Of Q1
Apr 27Shopify Inc. (SHOP): The "Agentic Commerce" Pioneer and the $131 Resistance
Shopify Inc. (SHOP) , the foundational operating system for modern commerce, enters Friday, April 17, 2026 , amidst a powerful bullish pivot.SHOP: Agentic Commerce Role Will Face Tighter Multiples And AI Disintermediation Tests
Shopify's analyst price targets have recently moved both up and down around the $150 to $165 range, with changes often tied to views on AI driven commerce opportunities, competitive positioning after OpenAI's checkout rollback, and a reassessment of sector valuation multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Shopify points to a mixed but increasingly debated outlook, with bullish views on its role in AI enabled commerce set against a wave of more conservative price target resets clustered in the $150 to $165 range.SHOP: Agentic Commerce Role Will Confront Sector Multiple Compression And High Expectations
Analysts kept Shopify's fair value estimate steady at $110, while modestly refining their assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, margin profile and future P/E. This reflects a mix of recent price target increases tied to Shopify's role in agentic commerce and infrastructure, along with resets from other firms that cite valuation and sector multiple compression.SHOP: Agentic Commerce Optimism Will Face Test As Expectations Stay Elevated
Shopify's analyst fair value estimate has been modestly adjusted from $111.12 to $110.00 as analysts factor in updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and a slightly lower future P/E. Recent research highlights both rising price targets from bulls focused on AI and agentic commerce potential, and reductions from others citing valuation reset and sector multiple compression.SHOP: Rich Multiple And Agentic Commerce Promise Will Shape Near-Term Trading
The analyst price target for Shopify in our model edges up from $110.00 to about $111.12 as analysts weigh a mix of recent target cuts and upgrades, with many still highlighting growth in agentic commerce, AI supported monetization, and the stock's pullback as key parts of their thesis. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Shopify reflects a split view, with some firms upgrading on the stock's pullback and AI and agentic commerce potential, while others are trimming targets or stepping to the sidelines after a strong run.SHOP: Rich Multiple And Mixed Sentiment Will Likely Cap Near-Term Upside
Analysts have trimmed our Shopify fair value estimate to $110 from about $139. This reflects lower price targets across the Street as models reset for softer revenue growth assumptions, slightly reduced margin expectations, and lower sector P/E multiples despite generally solid recent results.The Price Is Right For Shopify Inc. (NASDAQ:SHOP) Even After Diving 34%
Feb 13
SHOP: AI Efficiencies And Q4 Execution Will Support Higher Earnings Power
The analyst fair value estimate for Shopify has increased from US$200 to about US$218, reflecting updated assumptions on revenue growth, profitability and future P/E following recent research highlighting Q4 fundamentals, AI driven operating leverage and a series of price target revisions and rating changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Street research around Shopify has skewed constructive, with several bullish analysts revisiting their models and resetting price targets and ratings after recent earnings and product updates.
SHOP: AI Monetization And Operating Leverage Will Support Measured Upside Into 2026
Analysts have nudged our implied fair value for Shopify to about US$179.49 per share, up roughly US$4 from the prior US$175.43. This reflects Street research that highlights stronger top line potential, rising AI related monetization and operating leverage, partially offset by more cautious views on valuation, margins and already high expectations.SHOP: Lofty Multiples And Soft Cash Flow Will Restrain Near-Term Upside
Analysts increased their Shopify fair value estimate from about US$116 to roughly US$139, citing stronger expected revenue growth, a slightly higher assumed future P/E, and recent price target hikes across the Street. They attribute these changes to what they view as solid Q3 execution, despite some concerns around valuation and free cash flow.SHOP: AI Partnerships And Margin Expansion Will Drive Measured Upside Into 2025
Analysts have nudged our Shopify price target higher to approximately $175, up modestly from about $170. This reflects slightly faster expected profit margin expansion and durable post Q3 growth momentum that they believe supports the stock's premium valuation.SHOP: Future AI Commerce Momentum Will Drive Premium Re-Rating Into 2025
Analysts have modestly raised their Shopify price target by about $20 to roughly $190, as stronger growth, improving profit margins, and continued estimate revisions following solid Q3 results support a higher fair value despite ongoing concerns around valuation and near term cash flow softness. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Shopify reflects a constructive but more balanced stance, with most revisions skewing higher on price targets while calls for restraint grow louder around valuation and cash flow visibility.
Resilient performance despite tariff and consumer sentiment pressure
Shopify’s Q3 2025 results (reported 4 Nov 2025) showed revenue growth of ~32% and GMV up ~32% despite the challenging backdrop. The The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index shows the expectations component at 71.5 (October 2025) which is below the ~80 level typically seen as a signal of recession risk.SHOP: Future Revenue Momentum Will Drive Re-Rating Into 2025
Shopify's analyst fair value target has increased from $165.87 to $175.11. Analysts point to stronger-than-expected Q3 results and sustained revenue growth outpacing market expectations as key drivers behind the positive revision.SHOP: Expansion And AI Integration Will Drive Continued Market Share Gains
Shopify's analyst price target has been raised from $170 to $200. Analysts cite continued strong growth momentum, robust AI innovation, and market share gains as primary drivers behind the updated outlook.International Expansion And AI Integration Will Open New Global Markets
Shopify's fair value estimate has increased modestly to $164.45 per share. Analysts point to ongoing growth momentum, resilient market share, and enthusiasm around new AI initiatives as factors supporting a higher price target, despite recent executive departures.International Expansion And AI Integration Will Open New Global Markets
Shopify's analyst fair value price target has increased slightly by $2.04 to $163.15. Analysts cite continued solid growth, successful product expansion, and positive momentum in recent results as factors supporting the company's higher valuation.International Expansion And AI Integration Will Open New Global Markets
Shopify’s consensus price target was slightly raised to $161.11 as analysts highlighted exceptional Q2 results, accelerating revenue and GMV growth, and expanding international and enterprise momentum, although some caution remains on valuation. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite exceptional Q2 results, highlighted by accelerating gross merchandise volume growth and revenue growth above 30% despite difficult macroeconomic conditions.Optimistic Investors Push Shopify Inc. (NASDAQ:SHOP) Shares Up 33% But Growth Is Lacking
Aug 11
International Expansion And AI Integration Will Open New Global Markets
The significant increase in Shopify’s consensus analyst price target reflects higher growth expectations, as evidenced by a rising future P/E ratio, despite a marginal decline in net profit margin, raising the fair value estimate from $118.76 to $135.38. What's in the News FST Corp.Global Entrepreneurship And Online Retail Will Unlock Future Expansion
Global ecommerce trends, international expansion, and platform localization are driving strong merchant growth, revenue diversification, and improved onboarding for Shopify.Shopify: Why Holding The Line Still Makes Sense Amid Market Uncertainty
Apr 19Shopify: Don't Overthink The Buying Opportunity
Mar 30Shopify: The Price Of Perfection
Mar 21Shopify's Growth Story: Direct-To-Consumer Enabler For Independent Brands
Feb 18Shopify: Raising My Price Target On Accelerating Growth
Feb 12Shareholder Returns
| SHOP | US IT | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | -2.4% | -5.4% | -0.2% |
| 1Y | 25.0% | -1.6% | 27.6% |
Return vs Industry: SHOP exceeded the US IT industry which returned -1.6% over the past year.
Return vs Market: SHOP underperformed the US Market which returned 27.6% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| SHOP volatility | |
|---|---|
| SHOP Average Weekly Movement | 8.7% |
| IT Industry Average Movement | 9.4% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.2% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.3% |
Stable Share Price: SHOP has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: SHOP's weekly volatility (9%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | 7,600 | Tobi Lutke | www.shopify.com |
Shopify Inc., a commerce technology company, provides tools to start, scale, market, and run a business of various sizes in Canada, the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and Latin America. The Company offers Shopify platform that enables merchants to manage products and inventory, process orders and payments, fulfill and ship orders, build customer relationships, source products, leverage analytics, and reporting and access financing for running their business across all of their sales channels, including web and mobile storefronts, physical retail locations, social media storefronts, and marketplaces. It also provides Shopify Payments, a fully integrated payment processing service that allows merchants to accept and process payment cards online and offline.
Shopify Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| SHOP fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$158.11b |
| Earnings (TTM) | US$1.23b |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$11.56b |
128.5x
P/E Ratio13.7x
P/S RatioIs SHOP overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| SHOP income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$11.56b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$6.00b |
| Gross Profit | US$5.56b |
| Other Expenses | US$4.32b |
| Earnings | US$1.23b |
Last Reported Earnings
Dec 31, 2025
Next Earnings Date
May 05, 2026
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 0.94 |
| Gross Margin | 48.07% |
| Net Profit Margin | 10.65% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 0% |
How did SHOP perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/04/30 01:34 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/04/29 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Shopify Inc. is covered by 81 analysts. 47 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Harshit Gupta | Accountability Research Corporation |
| Rocco Strauss | Arete Research Services LLP |
| Oliver Lester | Arete Research Services LLP |