Here's Why We Think Paychex (NASDAQ:PAYX) Might Deserve Your Attention Today

Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks' without any revenue, let alone profit. But the reality is that when a company loses money each year, for long enough, its investors will usually take their share of those losses. A loss-making company is yet to prove itself with profit, and eventually the inflow of external capital may dry up.

If this kind of company isn't your style, you like companies that generate revenue, and even earn profits, then you may well be interested in Paychex (NASDAQ:PAYX). While this doesn't necessarily speak to whether it's undervalued, the profitability of the business is enough to warrant some appreciation - especially if its growing.

Check out the opportunities and risks within the US IT industry.

Advertisement

How Fast Is Paychex Growing?

If a company can keep growing earnings per share (EPS) long enough, its share price should eventually follow. Therefore, there are plenty of investors who like to buy shares in companies that are growing EPS. Over the last three years, Paychex has grown EPS by 11% per year. That's a good rate of growth, if it can be sustained.

Top-line growth is a great indicator that growth is sustainable, and combined with a high earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margin, it's a great way for a company to maintain a competitive advantage in the market. The music to the ears of Paychex shareholders is that EBIT margins have grown from 38% to 40% in the last 12 months and revenues are on an upwards trend as well. That's great to see, on both counts.

In the chart below, you can see how the company has grown earnings and revenue, over time. For finer detail, click on the image.

earnings-and-revenue-history
NasdaqGS:PAYX Earnings and Revenue History November 16th 2022

Fortunately, we've got access to analyst forecasts of Paychex's future profits. You can do your own forecasts without looking, or you can take a peek at what the professionals are predicting.

Are Paychex Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

We would not expect to see insiders owning a large percentage of a US$44b company like Paychex. But thanks to their investment in the company, it's pleasing to see that there are still incentives to align their actions with the shareholders. Indeed, they have a considerable amount of wealth invested in it, currently valued at US$4.7b. Holders should find this level of insider commitment quite encouraging, since it would ensure that the leaders of the company would also experience their success, or failure, with the stock.

While it's always good to see some strong conviction in the company from insiders through heavy investment, it's also important for shareholders to ask if management compensation policies are reasonable. Our quick analysis into CEO remuneration would seem to indicate they are. For companies with market capitalisations over US$8.0b, like Paychex, the median CEO pay is around US$13m.

The CEO of Paychex only received US$3.6m in total compensation for the year ending May 2022. That's clearly well below average, so at a glance that arrangement seems generous to shareholders and points to a modest remuneration culture. CEO remuneration levels are not the most important metric for investors, but when the pay is modest, that does support enhanced alignment between the CEO and the ordinary shareholders. It can also be a sign of a culture of integrity, in a broader sense.

Should You Add Paychex To Your Watchlist?

One important encouraging feature of Paychex is that it is growing profits. The fact that EPS is growing is a genuine positive for Paychex, but the pleasant picture gets better than that. With a meaningful level of insider ownership, and reasonable CEO pay, a reasonable mind might conclude that this is one stock worth watching. We should say that we've discovered 1 warning sign for Paychex that you should be aware of before investing here.

There's always the possibility of doing well buying stocks that are not growing earnings and do not have insiders buying shares. But for those who consider these important metrics, we encourage you to check out companies that do have those features. You can access a free list of them here.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NasdaqGS:PAYX

Paychex

Provides human capital management solutions (HCM) for payroll, employee benefits, human resources (HR), and insurance services for small to medium-sized businesses in the United States, Europe, and India.

Established dividend payer with adequate balance sheet.

Advertisement

Weekly Picks

DA
davidlsander
NAUF.F logo
davidlsander on Nevgold ·

The U.S. Government Is Desperate for This Metal. This Tiny Miner Has It -- Its Closest Peer Is Already Worth Double.

Fair Value:US$2.1939.7% undervalued
13 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
1 users have liked this narrative
BE
PYPL logo
benjamin_lvieq on PayPal Holdings ·

PayPal: PayPal Doesn't Need to Grow – It Needs to Stop Falling – A Mispriced Cash Machine With a Cannibal Buyback

Fair Value:US$6527.1% undervalued
21 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
5 users have liked this narrative
JD
CELH logo
JD009 on Celsius Holdings ·

From $5M to $2B: Why the 2024 Crash Was the Best Buying Opportunity in Consumer Stocks

Fair Value:US$55.4345.6% undervalued
7 users have followed this narrative
1 users have commented on this narrative
6 users have liked this narrative
WA
ACN logo
Wavefarer on Accenture ·

High-quality global services company facing an AI-driven valuation reset.

Fair Value:US$30155.3% undervalued
3 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
1 users have liked this narrative

Updated Narratives

CC
2343 logo
cchan3330 on Pacific Basin Shipping ·

Pacific Basin Betting on Green Methanol for Future Growth

Fair Value:HK$3.060% overvalued
5 users have followed this narrative
1 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
ES
A1AKK logo
Ester on A1 A.K. Koh Group Berhad ·

A1 A.K. Koh Group Berhad Expands Footprint via Strategic Land Acquisition in Puchong Jaya

Fair Value:RM 0.3656.9% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
WE
WealthAP
CPRT logo
WealthAP on Copart ·

Copart’s Share Price Fell. Its Moat Did Not.

Fair Value:US$4943.8% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Popular Narratives

IN
Investingwilly
MA logo
Investingwilly on Mastercard ·

Mastercard: The Best Dividend Stock You're Ignoring

Fair Value:US$75028.3% undervalued
90 users have followed this narrative
1 users have commented on this narrative
9 users have liked this narrative
BL
BlackGoat
CBRS logo
BlackGoat on Cerebras Systems ·

The Wafer Giant Threatening NVIDIA's GPU Hegemony

Fair Value:US$415.5451.0% undervalued
62 users have followed this narrative
3 users have commented on this narrative
11 users have liked this narrative
CE
Ceazar
CNXU logo
Ceazar on Conexeu Sciences ·

This small biotech is developing technology that could potentially change how tissue is rebuilt

Fair Value:US$25.3462.5% undervalued
60 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
9 users have liked this narrative