Stock Analysis

The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From OneSpan Inc.'s (NASDAQ:OSPN) Revenues Yet

NasdaqCM:OSPN
Source: Shutterstock

You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.6x OneSpan Inc. (NASDAQ:OSPN) is definitely a stock worth checking out, seeing as almost half of all the Software companies in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 4.3x and even P/S above 10x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for OneSpan

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:OSPN Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 15th 2024

How Has OneSpan Performed Recently?

Recent times haven't been great for OneSpan as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Keen to find out how analysts think OneSpan's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For OneSpan?

OneSpan's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 7.4% gain to the company's revenues. The latest three year period has also seen a 9.0% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 2.8% during the coming year according to the four analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 15%, which is noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that OneSpan's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Key Takeaway

It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of OneSpan's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for OneSpan that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of OneSpan's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether OneSpan is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.