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Risks To Shareholder Returns Are Elevated At These Prices For Okta, Inc. (NASDAQ:OKTA)
When you see that almost half of the companies in the IT industry in the United States have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3x, Okta, Inc. (NASDAQ:OKTA) looks to be giving off strong sell signals with its 5.5x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Check out our latest analysis for Okta
What Does Okta's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Okta certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. The P/S is probably high because investors think this strong revenue performance will continue. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Okta will help you uncover what's on the horizon.How Is Okta's Revenue Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Okta's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 17%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 120% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 12% each year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 13% each year, which is not materially different.
With this information, we find it interesting that Okta is trading at a high P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Okta's P/S
Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Seeing as its revenues are forecast to grow in line with the wider industry, it would appear that Okta currently trades on a higher than expected P/S. When we see revenue growth that just matches the industry, we don't expect elevates P/S figures to remain inflated for the long-term. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Okta that you should be aware of.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqGS:OKTA
Okta
Operates as an identity partner in the United States and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet and undervalued.