NextNav (NN): Assessing Valuation After MetCom Partnership Expands 5G 3D PNT Footprint into Japan

Simply Wall St

NextNav (NN) just took a meaningful step onto the global stage, expanding its strategic and technology partnership with Tokyo based MetCom to bring its 5G powered 3D PNT network into major Japanese cities.

See our latest analysis for NextNav.

Investors seem to be warming back up to that story, with the share price now at $16.90 and a strong 1 month share price return of 35.09 percent. However, the 3 year total shareholder return of 503.57 percent still does most of the heavy lifting for long term holders.

If this kind of infrastructure theme has your attention, it could be worth scanning other high growth tech names via our high growth tech and AI stocks to see what else fits your thesis.

Yet with revenues still modest, losses significant, and the share price already up sharply, the key question now is whether NextNav remains an underappreciated growth story or if the market is already pricing in years of expansion.

Price to Book of -102.9x, Is it justified?

With NextNav trading at $16.90 and carrying a price to book ratio of -102.9x against positive industry benchmarks, traditional multiple based valuation quickly breaks down.

The price to book ratio normally compares a company’s market value to the net assets on its balance sheet, helping investors judge how much they are paying for each dollar of equity. In NextNav’s case, negative shareholders equity means liabilities exceed assets, so the resulting negative multiple is more a signal of balance sheet stress than a reliable gauge of cheapness or expensiveness.

Because the company sits on negative equity and is unprofitable, the market is effectively pricing a long duration growth and commercialization story rather than current fundamentals. This makes simple book based comparisons misleading at best. Against a US software industry average of about 3.4x price to book, and a peer average near 4.9x, NextNav’s -102.9x figure underscores how different its capital structure and risk profile are from more mature, asset rich software names.

See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown.

Result: Price to Book of -102.9x (ABOUT RIGHT)

However, significant ongoing losses and a shrinking revenue base mean that any stumble in commercial adoption or funding could quickly challenge today’s upbeat growth narrative.

Find out about the key risks to this NextNav narrative.

Build Your Own NextNav Narrative

If this view does not quite line up with your own, or you prefer to dive into the numbers yourself, you can build a full narrative in under three minutes: Do it your way.

A great starting point for your NextNav research is our analysis highlighting 3 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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