Stock Analysis

Would MMTec (NASDAQ:MTC) Be Better Off With Less Debt?

NasdaqCM:MTC
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that MMTec, Inc. (NASDAQ:MTC) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for MMTec

What Is MMTec's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of December 2023, MMTec had US$32.5m of debt, up from none a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have US$1.76m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$30.8m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqCM:MTC Debt to Equity History May 2nd 2024

How Strong Is MMTec's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that MMTec had liabilities of US$1.99m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$32.6m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$1.76m as well as receivables valued at US$726.6k due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$32.1m.

Given MMTec has a market capitalization of US$621.3m, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is MMTec's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

In the last year MMTec had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 21%, to US$870k. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

Caveat Emptor

Not only did MMTec's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost US$4.3m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. Another cause for caution is that is bled US$5.2m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So to be blunt we think it is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that MMTec is showing 5 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether MMTec is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.