MicroStrategy Incorporated

NasdaqGS:MSTR Stock Report

Market Cap: US$82.6b

MicroStrategy Valuation

Is MSTR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MSTR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$52.69
Fair Value
502.0% overvalued intrinsic discount
13
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: MSTR ($317.2) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($52.69)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MSTR is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MSTR?

Key metric: As MSTR barely has revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for MSTR. This is calculated by dividing MSTR's market cap by their current book value.
What is MSTR's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio4.5x
BookUS$18.23b
Market CapUS$82.62b

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does MSTR's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for MSTR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24.9x
APP AppLovin
74.3x22.6%US$81.0b
CDNS Cadence Design Systems
15.3x12.7%US$71.4b
SNPS Synopsys
6.9x16.2%US$63.9b
ROP Roper Technologies
3.2x8.1%US$59.8b
MSTR MicroStrategy
4.5x95.8%US$82.6b

Price-To-Book vs Peers: MSTR is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (4.5x) compared to the peer average (11.6x).

Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does MSTR's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Software Industry?

35 CompaniesPrice / BookEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ETWO E2open Parent Holdings
0.6x78.7%US$662.73m
XPER Xperi
0.7x-53.5%US$296.78m
API Agora
0.4x136.4%US$244.06m
CMCM Cheetah Mobile
0.4x132.9%US$109.44m
MSTR 4.5xIndustry Avg. 3.3xNo. of Companies35PB02.85.68.411.214+
35 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: MSTR is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (4.5x) compared to the US Software industry average (3.3x).

Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MSTR's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MSTR PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio4.5x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate MSTR's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MSTR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$317.20
US$488.01
+53.8%
28.7%US$650.00US$175.00n/a13
Apr ’26US$306.02
US$514.09
+68.0%
21.6%US$650.00US$225.11n/a12
Mar ’26US$255.43
US$513.01
+100.8%
22.2%US$650.00US$212.11n/a12
Feb ’26US$334.79
US$524.10
+56.5%
20.9%US$650.00US$212.11n/a11
Jan ’26US$289.62
US$518.68
+79.1%
22.9%US$650.00US$212.11n/a9
Dec ’25US$387.47
US$492.57
+27.1%
28.7%US$650.00US$212.11n/a9
Nov ’25US$229.71
US$278.47
+21.2%
14.6%US$312.00US$169.21n/a9
Oct ’25US$162.69
US$199.13
+22.4%
17.6%US$289.00US$169.21n/a9
Sep ’25US$132.42
US$201.65
+52.3%
17.5%US$289.00US$169.21n/a8
Aug ’25US$151.18
US$195.98
+29.6%
19.8%US$289.00US$161.27n/a7
Jul ’25US$136.60
US$195.98
+43.5%
19.8%US$289.00US$161.27n/a7
Jun ’25US$152.45
US$175.69
+15.2%
11.8%US$204.70US$145.00n/a5
May ’25US$102.83
US$131.08
+27.5%
41.1%US$187.50US$53.70n/a6
Apr ’25US$163.67
US$103.00
-37.1%
44.6%US$181.00US$53.70US$306.026
Mar ’25US$107.94
US$79.42
-26.4%
21.6%US$99.00US$53.70US$255.436
Feb ’25US$50.35
US$62.86
+24.9%
15.6%US$79.10US$53.70US$334.795
Jan ’25US$63.16
US$66.95
+6.0%
13.5%US$79.10US$53.70US$289.624
Dec ’24US$52.77
US$54.73
+3.7%
4.0%US$56.50US$51.00US$387.474
Nov ’24US$42.67
US$45.66
+7.0%
22.7%US$52.00US$25.00US$229.715
Oct ’24US$32.83
US$44.86
+36.7%
26.7%US$52.00US$21.00US$162.695
Sep ’24US$35.15
US$44.86
+27.6%
26.7%US$52.00US$21.00US$132.425
Aug ’24US$43.50
US$42.60
-2.1%
27.2%US$52.00US$21.00US$151.185
Jul ’24US$34.24
US$33.67
-1.7%
33.1%US$43.00US$18.00US$136.603
Jun ’24US$29.99
US$33.67
+12.2%
33.1%US$43.00US$18.00US$152.453
May ’24US$30.75
US$33.67
+9.5%
33.1%US$43.00US$18.00US$102.833
Apr ’24US$29.23
US$28.00
-4.2%
42.9%US$40.00US$16.00US$163.672
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 13 Analysts
US$488.01
Fair Value
35.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
13
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/04/20 04:33
End of Day Share Price 2025/04/17 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

MicroStrategy Incorporated is covered by 30 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research
Ramsey El-AssalBarclays
Yun Suk KimBenchmark Company