Strategy Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 0/6
Strategy's earnings have been declining at an average annual rate of -19%, while the Software industry saw earnings growing at 24.9% annually. Revenues have been declining at an average rate of 1.7% per year.
Key information
-18.99%
Earnings growth rate
-3.19%
EPS growth rate
| Software Industry Growth | 17.33% |
| Revenue growth rate | -1.69% |
| Return on equity | -26.67% |
| Net Margin | -2,604.40% |
| Next Earnings Update | 30 Jul 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • Jul 13
Strategy: The mNAV Discount Finally Arrived, And I'm Still Neutral
Summary Strategy now trades at a 0.62x basic mNAV, but this discount vanishes when considering enterprise value and capital structure. MSTR's BTC-USD sales to fund obligations mark a regime change, breaking the 'never sell' narrative and altering its investment thesis. The flywheel of accretive equity issuance is broken; MSTR now resembles a static, leveraged BTC-USD position with a $1.5 billion annual carry cost. I maintain a neutral rating, watching for buyback execution below asset value and BTC-USD price recovery above MSTR's $75,482 cost basis. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Jun 17
Strategy (MSTR) Stock Could Be 21.3% Below Fair Value After $100 Million Bitcoin Buy
Strategy (MSTR) is back in focus after buying 1,587 Bitcoin for about US$100 million, using common stock sales that also lifted cash reserves and renewed debate around dilution and long term value. See our latest analysis for Strategy. Despite the latest Bitcoin purchase, Strategy’s 30 day share price return is down 26.3% and the year to date share price return is down 21.9%. However, the 3 year total shareholder return is more than triple, suggesting long term momentum has been strong even...Analysis Article • Aug 18
Strategy's (NASDAQ:MSTR) Profits Appear To Have Quality Issues
NasdaqGS:MSTR 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Strategy's Fair Values from the Community and select yours...Analysis Article • Jul 16
Weekly Picks: 📈 MSTR's Leveraged Bitcoin Exposure, QS' Breakthrough Battery Tech, and BBWI's Turnaround Potential
📈 Why Strategy is a compelling vehicle to gain leveraged Bitcoin exposure. 💰 How debt reduction is a key driver to Bath & Body Works' success. 🔋 Why QuantumScape’s technology could solve all current EV problems.Seeking Alpha • Apr 25
Strategy: Saylor Buys The Dip, I Buy The Break-Out
Summary Strategy is breaking out after a 40% drop from its ATH. Bitcoin's bullish trend, confirmed by technical analysis, supports the investment thesis for MSTR, which has significant Bitcoin holdings. MSTR's chart shows a strong breakout, with the potential to reach $700 if Bitcoin hits $120k. Despite high volatility and risks like geopolitical tensions and competition, MSTR presents a compelling opportunity for those bullish on Bitcoin. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 31
Strategy (MicroStrategy): The Ultimate Bet On Bitcoin's Future
Summary MicroStrategy has transformed into a leveraged Bitcoin proxy, offering investors amplified exposure to Bitcoin's price movements through its massive Bitcoin holdings and strategic financial engineering. The company's strategy benefits from rising institutional acceptance of Bitcoin, creating a positive feedback loop that could further drive up Bitcoin's price and validate MicroStrategy's model. Despite its potential for outsized gains, MicroStrategy's heavy reliance on Bitcoin's appreciation and its leveraged position make it an incredibly risky investment. MicroStrategy's unique business model and financial execution make it a compelling play for those who believe in Bitcoin as the ultimate scarce asset. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 20
Strategy (MicroStrategy) Shouldn't Have Paid $100,000 For Bitcoin
Summary MicroStrategy borrowed money to buy Bitcoin at $100,000 or higher. The loans had little in the way of interest; however, they have conversion features that could dilute equity. On Tuesday, MSTR announced it was issuing preferred stock with high interest rates. So the "low interest rate convertible bond" argument for owning MSTR is weakening. In this article, I explore why MicroStrategy is too leveraged and exposed to Bitcoin to be worth buying now. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 12
Strategy: Preferred Offering Has Potential Problem
Summary Strategy has pivoted from software analytics to Bitcoin investment, significantly increasing its holdings through equity and debt raises. The company announced a plan to sell up to $21 billion of preferred stock, which raises concerns about its ability to cover dividend payments. MSTR's valuation appears high, with its market cap exceeding the value of its Bitcoin holdings and software business. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 02
Strategy (MicroStrategy): Collapses With Bitcoin Drop, Still Grossly Overvalued
Summary Strategy (MicroStrategy) is an inefficient and risky way to gain exposure to Bitcoin; Bitcoin futures are more efficient for leveraged exposure. MSTR's past favorable bond issuances are unlikely to be replicated at the scale needed to justify its market cap premium. Avoid MSTR and buy Bitcoin directly if bullish; MSTR's structure is reminiscent of risky, leveraged financial products from the 2008 crisis. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 13
Strategy: It Just Doesn't Make Sense
Summary Strategy's value lies primarily in its Bitcoin portfolio, not its traditional software business. Despite BTC's rise, MSTR's premium to its BTC portfolio value remains perplexing, with the company using share sales and convertible debt to buy more BTC. The concept of "BTC yield" overcomplicates a simple process of capitalizing on MSTR's premium to acquire more BTC, without clear long-term earnings potential. Without meaningful earnings, it's unclear why investors would choose MSTR over BTC directly, reinforcing my Hold rating despite BTC's appreciation. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 06
Strategy (Formerly MicroStrategy) Q4 Earnings: Selling Volatility... And 'Merch'
Summary MicroStrategy's re-branding and merchandise store signal the company's encouragement of dangerous emotional attachment to the stock. Strategy's declining software revenue and high volatility make the common stock a decent trading vehicle but a potentially dubious investment. Despite a healthy balance sheet, MSTR's volatility and premium to Bitcoin holdings make it a risky bet compared to Bitcoin itself. Preferred shares and convertibles may be better options for exposure, but MSTR common shares are not advisable due to dilution and premium risks. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 27
MicroStrategy Is Buying Train Cars, Block Is Building Railroads
Summary MicroStrategy's levered Bitcoin strategy has yielded positive returns but carries a high risk due to Bitcoin's volatility; I rate it a Buy for risk-loving investors. Block, Inc. benefits from Bitcoin's growth while maintaining strong standalone businesses, making it a safer investment; I rate it a Strong Buy. MicroStrategy's approach involves issuing convertible notes to buy Bitcoin, betting on its appreciation, but it lacks a diversified business model. Block has built robust Bitcoin infrastructure and products, poised to thrive even if Bitcoin falters, ensuring long-term growth and stability. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 16
MicroStrategy's Trillion Dollar Bitcoin Bet Is Not What It Seems (Upgrade)
Summary Microstrategy (MSTR) has dipped 15% while Bitcoin only fell 5%, presenting a buying opportunity as MSTR trades at a relative discount. MSTR plans to increase authorized shares from 330 million to 10.33 billion to continue funding Bitcoin purchases, which is not immediately dilutive. Shareholders, led by Saylor, are likely to approve the share increase, ensuring MSTR's current business model continues. MSTR is expected to outperform Bitcoin, potentially appreciating by 50% and reaching $1000 based on technical analysis and premium trends. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 08
MicroStrategy Is A Coiled Spring About To Jump Higher
Summary MicroStrategy is leveraging innovative financial tools to expand its Bitcoin holdings. It has been reducing leverage and increasing optionality through aggressive ATM offerings in Q4 2024. The company intends to increase its authorized common and preferred share counts, enabling future BTC purchases via issuances and opening the door to more stock splits. The recent offering of perpetual preferred shares with conversion features signals the expansion of the total addressable market into different portions of the capital markets. Despite potential risks from Bitcoin volatility and regulatory actions, MSTR's unique business model and strong investor interest position it for impressive growth. Convertible bonds and preferred stock in Q1 2025 should push the stock much higher with higher BTC yield. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 29
MicroStrategy: Attempting A High-Stakes Play In Speculative Finance
Summary MicroStrategy's stock is highly risky due to its heavy reliance on Bitcoin, exposing it to extreme volatility and regulatory uncertainties. The company's business model has shifted from business software to a Bitcoin investment vehicle, leveraging convertible bonds and equity offerings. MicroStrategy's "BTC Yield" measures growth in Bitcoin holdings per share, with a YTD yield of 17% and a long-term target of 6%-10% annually. MicroStrategy stock is currently trading at $87.2 billion market cap, vs. an estimated fair value of its Bitcoin holdings of approximately $43.5 billion. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
New Narrative • Dec 18
MicroStrategy: Volatile Gamble or Golden Opportunity?
Bitcoin Price AppreciationIf Bitcoin continues its upward trajectory, MicroStrategy’s amplified exposure through its leveraged strategy could yield outsized gains, attracting even more speculative intSeeking Alpha • Dec 16
MicroStrategy's Nasdaq Inclusion Is An Endorsement Of Its Leveraged Bet
Summary MicroStrategy's inclusion in the Nasdaq-100 and its massive Bitcoin holdings, now the second largest globally, drive its stock's impressive performance. The company's leveraged strategy to accumulate Bitcoin increases Bitcoin per share, now at ~0.94 BTC per share, enhancing shareholder value despite traditional valuation metrics suggesting otherwise. Risks include Bitcoin price volatility and potential stock price drops below convertible bond conversion prices, which could pressure MicroStrategy's leveraged strategy. Despite risks, I recommend a Buy on MicroStrategy due to its unique approach to leveraging Bitcoin holdings for shareholder value. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 10
MicroStrategy: Risky Business Model Makes It A Top Short Idea For 2025
Summary Shorting MicroStrategy is a high-conviction idea due to its risky business model of issuing debt and equity to buy Bitcoin. The most problematic issue is that MicroStrategy actually sells zero-coupon convertible bonds to buy an intangible asset with no intrinsic value. Even if Bitcoin's price remains near $100K, MicroStrategy's stock could fall by 50% due to its market cap valuation premium vs Bitcoin. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 25
Understanding MicroStrategy
Summary MicroStrategy's stock is best viewed as a closed-end Bitcoin fund, trading at a premium or discount to its Bitcoin NAV, depending on market euphoria. The concept of "Bitcoin Yield" is flawed and misleading, as it relies on issuing equity at a premium without even matching a simple Bitcoin ETF. MicroStrategy faces significant refinancing risk, especially outside of crypto euphoria, which could lead to unfavorable debt terms or even bankruptcy. Investors should consider selling MSTR and replacing it with more reasonable Bitcoin exposure, if they must. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 19
MicroStrategy Could Be A Multi-Trillion Dollar Company
Summary MicroStrategy is effectively Bitcoin's only investment bank. MSTR's unique strategy involves issuing securities backed by BTC, creating significant value through a spread between BTC's CAGR and fiat cost of capital. Its BTC purchases are best thought of as revenue, and its rock bottom costs of capital are best thought of as costs of revenue. MSTR's market cap could potentially reach $690 billion to $3 trillion, driven by its unparalleled role in the BTC ecosystem and virtually impregnable moat of owning 1.3% of all BTC. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRevenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How Strategy makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar 26 | 490 | -12,774 | 280 | 94 |
| 31 Dec 25 | 477 | -4,230 | 275 | 94 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 475 | 7,718 | 278 | 97 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 462 | 4,733 | 278 | 107 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 459 | -5,342 | 279 | 114 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 463 | -1,167 | 279 | 118 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 467 | -407 | 277 | 123 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 481 | -210 | 274 | 119 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 490 | -85 | 269 | 118 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 496 | 429 | 265 | 121 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 504 | 90 | 266 | 122 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 500 | 207 | 262 | 123 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 502 | -878 | 262 | 125 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 499 | -1,470 | 258 | 127 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 501 | -1,310 | 259 | 127 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 504 | -1,319 | 258 | 124 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 507 | -556 | 256 | 121 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 511 | -535 | 256 | 117 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 508 | -443 | 244 | 111 |
| 30 Jun 21 | 507 | -421 | 237 | 110 |
| 31 Mar 21 | 492 | -118 | 228 | 107 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 481 | -8 | 229 | 104 |
| 30 Sep 20 | 483 | 2 | 244 | 105 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 475 | 26 | 252 | 105 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 482 | 43 | 267 | 107 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 486 | 34 | 278 | 109 |
| 30 Sep 19 | 485 | 25 | 285 | 111 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 487 | 28 | 287 | 110 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 490 | 13 | 290 | 107 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 498 | 23 | 292 | 102 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 502 | -6 | 285 | 96 |
| 30 Jun 18 | 506 | -1 | 280 | 89 |
| 31 Mar 18 | 505 | 4 | 269 | 84 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 504 | 18 | 255 | 79 |
| 30 Sep 17 | 508 | 75 | 246 | 76 |
| 30 Jun 17 | 511 | 83 | 242 | 74 |
| 31 Mar 17 | 515 | 92 | 243 | 74 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 514 | 92 | 238 | 73 |
| 30 Sep 16 | 516 | 99 | 232 | 72 |
| 30 Jun 16 | 515 | 96 | 231 | 72 |
| 31 Mar 16 | 525 | 100 | 226 | 67 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 530 | 106 | 229 | 65 |
| 30 Sep 15 | 535 | 90 | 239 | 62 |
Quality Earnings: MSTR is currently unprofitable.
Growing Profit Margin: MSTR is currently unprofitable.
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: MSTR is unprofitable, and losses have increased over the past 5 years at a rate of 19% per year.
Accelerating Growth: Unable to compare MSTR's earnings growth over the past year to its 5-year average as it is currently unprofitable
Earnings vs Industry: MSTR is unprofitable, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Software industry (14.4%).
Return on Equity
High ROE: MSTR has a negative Return on Equity (-26.67%), as it is currently unprofitable.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/07/14 21:32 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/07/14 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Strategy Inc is covered by 24 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Ramsey El-Assal | Barclays |
| Yun Suk Kim | Benchmark Company |
| Mark Palmer | Benchmark Company |