Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
View our latest analysis for Microsoft
What Is Microsoft's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 Microsoft had US$65.4b of debt, an increase on US$48.2b, over one year. But it also has US$80.0b in cash to offset that, meaning it has US$14.6b net cash.
How Healthy Is Microsoft's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Microsoft had liabilities of US$118.5b due within a year, and liabilities of US$112.6b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$80.0b as well as receivables valued at US$54.1b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$97.0b.
Since publicly traded Microsoft shares are worth a very impressive total of US$3.28t, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Microsoft boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
Another good sign is that Microsoft has been able to increase its EBIT by 25% in twelve months, making it easier to pay down debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Microsoft's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Microsoft may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Microsoft produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 70% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
Summing Up
We could understand if investors are concerned about Microsoft's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of US$14.6b. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 25% over the last year. So is Microsoft's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Microsoft is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NasdaqGS:MSFT
Microsoft
Develops and supports software, services, devices and solutions worldwide.
Flawless balance sheet with solid track record and pays a dividend.