MongoDB Future Growth
Future criteria checks 4/6
MongoDB is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 52.2% and 14.4% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 52.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 18.4% in 3 years.
Key information
52.2%
Earnings growth rate
52.15%
EPS growth rate
| IT earnings growth | 15.8% |
| Revenue growth rate | 14.4% |
| Future return on equity | 18.42% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 28 Apr 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
MongoDB: Strong Platform, Uncertain Inflection, Watching The Transition
Apr 29
MDB: Fair Outlook Sees AI Data Role Tested By Guidance Reset
Analysts keep the fair value estimate steady at $250.00 while trimming margin assumptions, slightly lifting revenue growth expectations, and allowing for a higher future P/E. This reflects recalibrated Street price targets after mixed Q4 results and softer fiscal 2027 guidance.
MDB: AI Data Stack Leadership Will Support Post Reset Upside Potential
The updated analyst price target for MongoDB moves from about $525 to about $462, as analysts factor in softer margin and revenue growth assumptions alongside a slightly higher future P/E multiple following recent Q4 results and guidance. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on MongoDB reflects a wide reset in price targets following Q4 results and fiscal 2027 guidance.MDB: Fair Outlook Balances AI Data Ambition With Atlas And Leadership Uncertainty
Analysts are resetting expectations for MongoDB, applying a lower implied valuation multiple and assuming more gradual margin expansion. This feeds through to the updated price target while keeping revenue assumptions broadly in line and recognizing improving profit margin assumptions in the model.MDB: Fair Outlook Sees AI Data Opportunity Tempered By Atlas And Leadership Uncertainty
Narrative Update Our updated analyst price target for MongoDB moves from $340.43 to $250.00, reflecting analysts' lower long term revenue growth assumptions, a slightly higher discount rate and a more conservative future P/E multiple, even as they highlight ongoing AI related opportunities and the recent post earnings selloff as a reset in expectations rather than a change in the core story. Analyst Commentary A wave of post earnings research on MongoDB has centered on resetting expectations after mixed guidance and a sharp pullback in the share price.
MongoDB Inc. (MDB): The Data Platform Pivot – Navigating the FY2027 Outlook in 2026.
MongoDB (MDB) is currently undergoing a significant valuation recalibration, trading at $252.73 as of the March 3, 2026, close. The stock suffered a massive 22.24% collapse today following its Q4 fiscal 2026 earnings release, which took place after the bell on March 2.MDB: Fair Outlook Balances AI Workload Opportunity With Execution And Expectation Risks
Narrative Update: MongoDB Our fair value estimate for MongoDB has been revised to $340.43, reflecting a higher revenue growth assumption of 18.87% and a very large future P/E multiple, as analysts point to broadly supportive price target moves tied to Atlas growth expectations, AI driven demand, and a generally constructive multi year setup in recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent research on MongoDB continues to lean constructive, with several firms lifting their price targets and highlighting the company as a key beneficiary of database modernization and artificial intelligence related workloads.MDB: AI Workloads And Cloud Recurring Revenue Will Support Future Leadership Transition
Our updated fair value estimate for MongoDB moves to $525 from $550, as analysts factor in expectations for higher long term revenue growth, a richer future P/E multiple, and a lower discount rate, partially offset by more conservative profit margin assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has generally tilted positive on MongoDB, with a series of higher price targets and reaffirmed positive ratings.MDB: Atlas And AI Adoption Will Support Upcoming Leadership Transition
Analysts have modestly raised their implied outlook on MongoDB, with price targets now clustering in the US$405 to US$500 range. They cite stronger Atlas momentum, improving profitability, and confidence in the company’s AI positioning and new leadership.MDB: Atlas And AI Workloads Will Drive Leadership Transition Upside
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for MongoDB from $394.78 to $550.00, citing higher expected revenue growth, improved profitability, a lower future P/E assumption, and supportive Street research that emphasizes Atlas momentum, AI related demand, and confidence in the new CEO transition. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on MongoDB has been broadly constructive, with a series of higher price targets and reaffirmed positive ratings.MongoDB, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MDB) 26% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up
Dec 19
MDB: Leadership Transition And AI Demand Will Shape Durable Profitability Outlook
Analysts have raised their price target on MongoDB by $12, to $440 from $428, citing improving profitability, sustained Atlas driven and AI related demand, and confidence in the company’s leadership transition and long term growth profile. Analyst Commentary Recent research notes highlight a broadly constructive backdrop for MongoDB, with a series of price target increases reflecting improving execution, durable growth prospects, and rising conviction in the company’s AI and Atlas strategies.MDB: Leadership Change And AI Adoption Will Shape Durable Platform Positioning
The Analyst Price Target for MongoDB has increased by approximately $58 to about $428, as analysts highlight improving profitability, rising confidence in durable Atlas-driven growth and AI adoption, and strengthened leadership positioning as key supports for higher long-term valuation multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent research notes reflect a broadly constructive view on MongoDB, with most price targets moving higher as analysts point to strengthening fundamentals, expanding AI opportunities, and improving visibility into long term growth and profitability.MDB: Leadership Transition And AI Expansion Will Shape Future Performance Amid Competition
MongoDB's analyst price target has been raised from approximately $353 to nearly $370. This reflects analyst confidence in accelerating revenue growth, stronger profit margins, and continued leadership strength amid durable business momentum.MDB: AI Adoption And Expanding Platform Will Support Balanced Outlook Ahead
MongoDB's analyst price target has increased modestly to $353, as analysts cite strengthening AI adoption, sustained Atlas platform momentum, and improved growth visibility as key drivers supporting the upgrade. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst research on MongoDB has provided a comprehensive overview of both the company’s opportunities and challenges, with price targets broadly trending higher.Atlas Adoption Will Drive Enterprise Cloud Transformation
MongoDB's analyst price target has been raised significantly, with recent targets now reaching as high as $430. Analysts cite improving execution, growing AI opportunities, and increasing confidence in Atlas-driven growth as drivers for their higher valuations.Atlas Adoption Will Drive Enterprise Cloud Transformation
MongoDB's analyst price target has increased significantly from approximately $317 to nearly $351. Analysts cite improved growth visibility, stronger profit margins, and expanding opportunities in AI-driven applications as key drivers behind the upward revision.Revenues Not Telling The Story For MongoDB, Inc. (NASDAQ:MDB) After Shares Rise 32%
Aug 29Atlas Adoption Will Drive Enterprise Cloud Transformation
The consensus analyst price target for MongoDB has been raised from $272.21 to $311.71, reflecting strong Atlas cloud momentum, improved management credibility from consistent outperformance and guidance raises, and growing confidence in the company’s position to capture AI-related demand and broader enterprise data modernization trends. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlighted a significant reacceleration in Atlas cloud revenue growth, with strong consumption trends, robust new customer additions, and margin expansion driving broad-based outperformance across recent quarters.
Atlas And Voyage AI Investments Will Expand Future AI Capabilities
MongoDB's focus on AI capabilities and app modernization aims to expand revenue streams and improve long-term earnings.MongoDB Earnings: Sky-High Valuation Leaves No Margin For Error (Downgrade)
Mar 06MongoDB: Sell Before The Weak Fundamentals Catch Up With The Stock (Technical Analysis)
Feb 15MongoDB: Growth Outlook Remains Positive
Jan 14MongoDB's Growth Rate Inflection: Just Over The Horizon
Dec 26MongoDB Q3 Earnings: Growth Acceleration Could Be On The Horizon, But A Lot Priced In
Dec 10MongoDB: Playing The Long Game In A Fiercely Competitive Market
Nov 08MongoDB: AI Tailwinds Make For A Long Growth Runway
Oct 28MongoDB Isn't Much Of A Growth Stock Any Longer, Though It's Priced Like One (Rating Downgrade)
Oct 02MongoDB: Solid Second Quarter Eases Competition Concerns
Sep 05MongoDB Earnings: Don't Chase This Stock, Cache Out
Aug 30MongoDB: The Q2 Event Won't Have Too Many Highs, But A Trough Seems Imminent
Aug 21MongoDB Stock: Still A Risky Investment After A 40% Decline
Aug 14MongoDB: Volatility Should Persist In The Medium Term
Jul 04MongoDB Q1 Earnings Preview: Caution Ahead As Investor Optimism Remains Elevated
May 26MongoDB: Less Profitable Than Expected (Rating Downgrade)
Apr 25MongoDB: Ongoing Demand Headwinds
Apr 05MongoDB: Growth And Margins Expected To Compress In FY25
Mar 24Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/31/2029 | 4,022 | 123 | 881 | 872 | 12 |
| 1/31/2028 | 3,394 | 11 | 652 | 664 | 36 |
| 1/31/2027 | 2,896 | -53 | 524 | 537 | 36 |
| 1/31/2026 | 2,464 | -71 | 500 | 505 | N/A |
| 10/31/2025 | 2,317 | -71 | 346 | 376 | N/A |
| 7/31/2025 | 2,218 | -79 | 240 | 270 | N/A |
| 4/30/2025 | 2,105 | -86 | 166 | 197 | N/A |
| 1/31/2025 | 2,006 | -129 | 121 | 150 | N/A |
| 10/31/2024 | 1,916 | -200 | 148 | 154 | N/A |
| 7/31/2024 | 1,820 | -220 | 149 | 155 | N/A |
| 4/30/2024 | 1,765 | -203 | 125 | 131 | N/A |
| 1/31/2024 | 1,683 | -177 | 115 | 121 | N/A |
| 10/31/2023 | 1,586 | -186 | 89 | 93 | N/A |
| 7/31/2023 | 1,487 | -241 | 45 | 49 | N/A |
| 4/30/2023 | 1,367 | -322 | 24 | 29 | N/A |
| 1/31/2023 | 1,284 | -345 | -20 | -13 | N/A |
| 10/31/2022 | 1,189 | -365 | -27 | -17 | N/A |
| 7/31/2022 | 1,082 | -362 | -27 | -17 | N/A |
| 4/30/2022 | 978 | -320 | -2 | 8 | N/A |
| 1/31/2022 | 874 | -307 | -1 | 7 | N/A |
| 10/31/2021 | 778 | -298 | -39 | -34 | N/A |
| 7/31/2021 | 702 | -290 | -45 | -36 | N/A |
| 4/30/2021 | 642 | -277 | -37 | -27 | N/A |
| 1/31/2021 | 590 | -267 | -54 | -43 | N/A |
| 10/31/2020 | 543 | -254 | -45 | -33 | N/A |
| 7/31/2020 | 502 | -223 | -43 | -36 | N/A |
| 4/30/2020 | 463 | -196 | -43 | -39 | N/A |
| 1/31/2020 | 422 | -176 | -33 | -30 | N/A |
| 10/31/2019 | 384 | -135 | N/A | -30 | N/A |
| 7/31/2019 | 346 | -115 | N/A | -26 | N/A |
| 4/30/2019 | 306 | -106 | N/A | -31 | N/A |
| 1/31/2019 | 267 | -99 | N/A | -42 | N/A |
| 10/31/2018 | 238 | -91 | N/A | -40 | N/A |
| 7/31/2018 | 208 | -93 | N/A | -43 | N/A |
| 4/30/2018 | 184 | -91 | N/A | -41 | N/A |
| 1/31/2018 | 166 | -84 | N/A | -45 | N/A |
| 10/31/2017 | 139 | -92 | N/A | -47 | N/A |
| 7/31/2017 | 124 | -87 | N/A | -43 | N/A |
| 4/30/2017 | 112 | -85 | N/A | -40 | N/A |
| 1/31/2017 | 115 | -70 | N/A | -38 | N/A |
| 1/31/2016 | 65 | -73 | N/A | -47 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: MDB is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (3.4%).
Earnings vs Market: MDB is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.
High Growth Earnings: MDB is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: MDB's revenue (14.4% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (11% per year).
High Growth Revenue: MDB's revenue (14.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: MDB's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (18.4%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/04/30 15:53 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/04/29 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/01/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2026/01/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
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Industry and Sector Metrics
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Analyst Sources
MongoDB, Inc. is covered by 52 analysts. 36 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Adam Shepherd | Arete Research Services LLP |
| Joseph Bonner | Argus Research Company |
| William Power | Baird |