Would Shareholders Who Purchased Aurora Mobile's (NASDAQ:JG) Stock Three Years Be Happy With The Share price Today?

By
Simply Wall St
Published
July 24, 2021
NasdaqGM:JG
Source: Shutterstock

As every investor would know, not every swing hits the sweet spot. But you have a problem if you face massive losses more than once in a while. So take a moment to sympathize with the long term shareholders of Aurora Mobile Limited (NASDAQ:JG), who have seen the share price tank a massive 73% over a three year period. That'd be enough to cause even the strongest minds some disquiet. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 32% in the last 90 days.

See our latest analysis for Aurora Mobile

Aurora Mobile wasn't profitable in the last twelve months, it is unlikely we'll see a strong correlation between its share price and its earnings per share (EPS). Arguably revenue is our next best option. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. As you can imagine, fast revenue growth, when maintained, often leads to fast profit growth.

In the last three years Aurora Mobile saw its revenue shrink by 1.2% per year. That's not what investors generally want to see. The share price fall of 20% (per year, over three years) is a stern reminder that money-losing companies are expected to grow revenue. This business clearly needs to grow revenues if it is to perform as investors hope. There's no more than a snowball's chance in hell that share price will head back to its old highs, in the short term.

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGM:JG Earnings and Revenue Growth July 24th 2021

This free interactive report on Aurora Mobile's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

A Different Perspective

Aurora Mobile shareholders have gained 38% over twelve months. This isn't far from the market return of 41%. Given the three-year TSR of 20% per year, shareholders probably aren't too concerned by the recent gain! It could well be that the business is getting back on track. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks, for example - Aurora Mobile has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.

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