Stock Analysis

Intuit Inc. (NASDAQ:INTU) Full-Year Results Just Came Out: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For This Year

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NasdaqGS:INTU

Intuit Inc. (NASDAQ:INTU) came out with its full-year results last week, and we wanted to see how the business is performing and what industry forecasters think of the company following this report. It was a credible result overall, with revenues of US$16b and statutory earnings per share of US$10.43 both in line with analyst estimates, showing that Intuit is executing in line with expectations. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.

View our latest analysis for Intuit

NasdaqGS:INTU Earnings and Revenue Growth September 6th 2024

Taking into account the latest results, the consensus forecast from Intuit's 28 analysts is for revenues of US$18.3b in 2025. This reflects a decent 12% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to climb 16% to US$12.28. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$18.3b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$12.29 in 2025. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.

There were no changes to revenue or earnings estimates or the price target of US$714, suggesting that the company has met expectations in its recent result. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. There are some variant perceptions on Intuit, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at US$795 and the most bearish at US$550 per share. This shows there is still a bit of diversity in estimates, but analysts don't appear to be totally split on the stock as though it might be a success or failure situation.

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Intuit's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2025 expected to display 12% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 19% over the past five years. Compare this to the 402 other companies in this industry with analyst coverage, which are forecast to grow their revenue at 12% per year. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it looks like Intuit is forecast to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Happily, there were no real changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow in line with the overall industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have estimates - from multiple Intuit analysts - going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

It might also be worth considering whether Intuit's debt load is appropriate, using our debt analysis tools on the Simply Wall St platform, here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.