Stock Analysis

Market Participants Recognise Cipher Mining Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CIFR) Revenues Pushing Shares 38% Higher

NasdaqGS:CIFR
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Cipher Mining Inc. (NASDAQ:CIFR) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 38% gain and recovering from prior weakness. The last month tops off a massive increase of 106% in the last year.

After such a large jump in price, Cipher Mining may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 11.3x, since almost half of all companies in the Software industry in the United States have P/S ratios under 4.4x and even P/S lower than 1.8x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

View our latest analysis for Cipher Mining

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:CIFR Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 22nd 2024

How Cipher Mining Has Been Performing

Recent times have been advantageous for Cipher Mining as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong revenue performance to persist, which has raised the P/S. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Keen to find out how analysts think Cipher Mining's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Cipher Mining?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Cipher Mining's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, we see the company's revenues grew exponentially. Still, revenue has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the six analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 34% per year over the next three years. With the industry only predicted to deliver 15% each year, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

With this in mind, it's not hard to understand why Cipher Mining's P/S is high relative to its industry peers. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Final Word

Cipher Mining's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of Cipher Mining's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. Unless the analysts have really missed the mark, these strong revenue forecasts should keep the share price buoyant.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Cipher Mining (1 is a bit concerning) you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Cipher Mining is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.