Stock Analysis

Investors Interested In Confluent, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CFLT) Revenues

NasdaqGS:CFLT
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You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 10.4x Confluent, Inc. (NASDAQ:CFLT) is a stock to avoid completely, seeing as almost half of all the Software companies in the United States have P/S ratios under 4.1x and even P/S lower than 1.5x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

View our latest analysis for Confluent

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:CFLT Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 21st 2024

What Does Confluent's Recent Performance Look Like?

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Confluent has been doing relatively well. It seems the market expects this form will continue into the future, hence the elevated P/S ratio. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Confluent will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Confluent's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 29% gain to the company's top line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 212% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 24% each year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 15% per annum, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

With this in mind, it's not hard to understand why Confluent's P/S is high relative to its industry peers. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

What Does Confluent's P/S Mean For Investors?

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Confluent maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the Software industry, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. Unless the analysts have really missed the mark, these strong revenue forecasts should keep the share price buoyant.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Confluent has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Confluent, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.