Stock Analysis

AppLovin Corporation Just Recorded A 11% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

Published
NasdaqGS:APP

AppLovin Corporation (NASDAQ:APP) just released its latest full-year results and things are looking bullish. AppLovin beat earnings, with revenues hitting US$4.7b, ahead of expectations, and statutory earnings per share outperforming analyst reckonings by a solid 11%. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.

See our latest analysis for AppLovin

NasdaqGS:APP Earnings and Revenue Growth March 3rd 2025

Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for AppLovin from 23 analysts is for revenues of US$5.80b in 2025. If met, it would imply a huge 23% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to jump 41% to US$6.56. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of US$5.80b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$6.35 in 2025. The analysts seems to have become more bullish on the business, judging by their new earnings per share estimates.

The consensus price target rose 7.3% to US$505, suggesting that higher earnings estimates flow through to the stock's valuation as well. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. There are some variant perceptions on AppLovin, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at US$650 and the most bearish at US$105 per share. So we wouldn't be assigning too much credibility to analyst price targets in this case, because there are clearly some widely different views on what kind of performance this business can generate. With this in mind, we wouldn't rely too heavily the consensus price target, as it is just an average and analysts clearly have some deeply divergent views on the business.

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. The period to the end of 2025 brings more of the same, according to the analysts, with revenue forecast to display 23% growth on an annualised basis. That is in line with its 22% annual growth over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to see their revenues grow 12% per year. So it's pretty clear that AppLovin is forecast to grow substantially faster than its industry.

The Bottom Line

The biggest takeaway for us is the consensus earnings per share upgrade, which suggests a clear improvement in sentiment around AppLovin's earnings potential next year. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was also a nice increase in the price target, with the analysts clearly feeling that the intrinsic value of the business is improving.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for AppLovin going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here..

Even so, be aware that AppLovin is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.