Adeia Valuation

Is ADEA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ADEA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ADEA ($10.92) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($15.48)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ADEA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ADEA?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

ADEA key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue4.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA7x
PEG Ratio1.1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ADEA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ADEA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average55.9x
ATEN A10 Networks
25.5x15.3%US$1.0b
NABL N-able
103.1x30.0%US$2.4b
PRGS Progress Software
33.8x20.3%US$2.3b
TDC Teradata
60.9x35.7%US$3.8b
ADEA Adeia
17.6x16.4%US$1.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ADEA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.6x) compared to the peer average (55.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ADEA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Software Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a15.5%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a15.5%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ADEA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.6x) compared to the US Software industry average (45x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ADEA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ADEA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17.6x
Fair PE Ratio30.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ADEA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ADEA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$10.92
US$15.00
+37.4%
5.4%US$16.00US$14.00n/a3
Mar ’25US$11.53
US$15.00
+30.1%
5.4%US$16.00US$14.00n/a3
Dec ’24US$9.54
US$15.33
+60.7%
6.1%US$16.00US$14.00n/a3
Nov ’24US$8.47
US$15.33
+81.0%
6.1%US$16.00US$14.00n/a3
Oct ’24US$10.68
US$15.67
+46.7%
8.0%US$17.00US$14.00n/a3
Sep ’24US$10.01
US$15.67
+56.5%
8.0%US$17.00US$14.00n/a3
Aug ’24US$12.22
US$15.67
+28.2%
8.0%US$17.00US$14.00n/a3
Jul ’24US$11.01
US$15.67
+42.3%
8.0%US$17.00US$14.00n/a3
Jun ’24US$9.85
US$15.67
+59.1%
8.0%US$17.00US$14.00n/a3
May ’24US$7.64
US$15.67
+105.1%
8.0%US$17.00US$14.00n/a3
Apr ’24US$8.86
US$15.67
+76.8%
8.0%US$17.00US$14.00n/a3
Mar ’24US$9.85
US$15.67
+59.1%
8.0%US$17.00US$14.00US$11.533
Feb ’24US$11.22
US$15.67
+39.6%
8.0%US$17.00US$14.00US$12.533
Jan ’24US$9.48
US$15.67
+65.3%
8.0%US$17.00US$14.00US$12.393
Dec ’23US$10.58
US$15.67
+48.1%
8.0%US$17.00US$14.00US$9.543
Nov ’23US$11.53
US$15.67
+35.9%
8.0%US$17.00US$14.00US$8.473
Oct ’23US$14.14
US$22.50
+59.1%
13.5%US$26.00US$19.00US$10.684
Sep ’23US$15.66
US$22.50
+43.7%
13.5%US$26.00US$19.00US$10.014
Aug ’23US$16.88
US$22.50
+33.3%
13.5%US$26.00US$19.00US$12.224
Jul ’23US$14.33
US$23.67
+65.2%
11.1%US$26.00US$20.00US$11.013
Jun ’23US$16.50
US$23.67
+43.4%
11.1%US$26.00US$20.00US$9.853
May ’23US$15.60
US$24.67
+58.1%
5.1%US$26.00US$23.00US$7.643
Apr ’23US$17.49
US$24.67
+41.0%
5.1%US$26.00US$23.00US$8.863
Mar ’23US$16.80
US$24.67
+46.8%
5.1%US$26.00US$23.00US$9.853

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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