Teradata Valuation

Is TDC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TDC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TDC ($29.97) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($89.24)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TDC is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TDC?

Key metric: As TDC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TDC. This is calculated by dividing TDC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is TDC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio35x
EarningsUS$82.00m
Market CapUS$2.82b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TDC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TDC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average49.6x
SWI SolarWinds
57.3x47.8%US$2.2b
PRGS Progress Software
34.8x24.5%US$2.8b
RPD Rapid7
55.2x21.1%US$2.5b
NABL N-able
51x13.0%US$1.9b
TDC Teradata
35x19.8%US$2.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TDC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35x) compared to the peer average (49.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TDC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Software Industry?

10 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AISP Airship AI Holdings
4.5x-27.8%US$74.21m
GRRR Gorilla Technology Group
2x-67.4%US$45.52m
NISN Nisun International Enterprise Development Group
2.1xn/aUS$35.53m
NXTT Next Technology Holding
0.5xn/aUS$19.19m
TDC 35.0xIndustry Avg. 41.0xNo. of Companies12PE020406080100+
10 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TDC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35x) compared to the US Software industry average (41x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TDC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TDC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio35x
Fair PE Ratio31.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TDC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TDC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$29.97
US$32.90
+9.8%
13.8%US$42.00US$26.00n/a10
Nov ’25US$33.23
US$33.70
+1.4%
19.8%US$50.00US$24.00n/a10
Oct ’25US$29.62
US$33.40
+12.8%
19.7%US$50.00US$24.00n/a10
Sep ’25US$28.24
US$33.40
+18.3%
19.7%US$50.00US$24.00n/a10
Aug ’25US$31.35
US$44.00
+40.4%
20.1%US$60.00US$32.00n/a11
Jul ’25US$34.70
US$46.20
+33.1%
17.0%US$60.00US$35.00n/a10
Jun ’25US$32.61
US$46.20
+41.7%
17.0%US$60.00US$35.00n/a10
May ’25US$37.37
US$52.83
+41.4%
17.0%US$72.00US$39.00n/a12
Apr ’25US$38.41
US$53.95
+40.5%
16.2%US$72.00US$43.00n/a12
Mar ’25US$38.56
US$53.95
+39.9%
16.2%US$72.00US$43.00n/a12
Feb ’25US$47.71
US$61.95
+29.8%
13.9%US$75.00US$46.00n/a12
Jan ’25US$43.51
US$62.09
+42.7%
14.5%US$75.00US$46.00n/a11
Dec ’24US$47.72
US$62.09
+30.1%
14.5%US$75.00US$46.00n/a11
Nov ’24US$42.45
US$62.45
+47.1%
14.2%US$75.00US$46.00US$33.2311
Oct ’24US$45.02
US$63.45
+40.9%
13.3%US$75.00US$46.00US$29.6211
Sep ’24US$45.87
US$63.30
+38.0%
13.9%US$75.00US$46.00US$28.2410
Aug ’24US$57.41
US$56.00
-2.5%
18.0%US$75.00US$44.00US$31.3510
Jul ’24US$53.41
US$53.00
-0.8%
17.8%US$72.00US$41.00US$34.7010
Jun ’24US$46.92
US$53.00
+13.0%
17.8%US$72.00US$41.00US$32.6110
May ’24US$41.04
US$49.56
+20.7%
21.0%US$72.00US$37.00US$37.379
Apr ’24US$40.28
US$48.50
+20.4%
21.4%US$72.00US$35.00US$38.418
Mar ’24US$40.89
US$45.89
+12.2%
26.7%US$72.00US$25.00US$38.569
Feb ’24US$35.76
US$43.11
+20.6%
31.4%US$72.00US$25.00US$47.719
Jan ’24US$33.66
US$43.11
+28.1%
31.4%US$72.00US$25.00US$43.519
Dec ’23US$34.75
US$41.80
+20.3%
32.1%US$72.00US$25.00US$47.7210
Nov ’23US$32.08
US$44.40
+38.4%
32.4%US$72.00US$25.00US$42.4510

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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