A10 Networks Valuation

Is ATEN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ATEN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ATEN ($16.48) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($22.85)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ATEN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ATEN?

Key metric: As ATEN is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ATEN. This is calculated by dividing ATEN's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ATEN's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio24.3x
EarningsUS$49.76m
Market CapUS$1.21b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ATEN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ATEN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average40.4x
ADEA Adeia
30.5x81.9%US$1.3b
SWI SolarWinds
57.3x47.8%US$2.2b
NABL N-able
51x13.0%US$1.9b
OSPN OneSpan
22.8x20.0%US$644.3m
ATEN A10 Networks
24.4x5.8%US$1.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ATEN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.4x) compared to the peer average (40.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ATEN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Software Industry?

10 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AISP Airship AI Holdings
4.5x-27.8%US$74.21m
GRRR Gorilla Technology Group
2x-67.4%US$45.52m
NISN Nisun International Enterprise Development Group
2.1xn/aUS$35.53m
NXTT Next Technology Holding
0.5xn/aUS$19.19m
ATEN 24.3xIndustry Avg. 41.0xNo. of Companies12PE020406080100+
10 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ATEN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.4x) compared to the US Software industry average (41x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ATEN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ATEN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio24.3x
Fair PE Ratio24.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ATEN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ATEN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$16.48
US$20.00
+21.4%
16.3%US$24.00US$16.00n/a3
Nov ’25US$14.62
US$17.00
+16.3%
4.8%US$18.00US$16.00n/a3
Oct ’25US$14.15
US$16.33
+15.4%
2.9%US$17.00US$16.00n/a3
Sep ’25US$13.77
US$16.33
+18.6%
2.9%US$17.00US$16.00n/a3
Aug ’25US$12.99
US$16.33
+25.7%
2.9%US$17.00US$16.00n/a3
Jul ’25US$13.61
US$17.00
+24.9%
4.8%US$18.00US$16.00n/a3
Jun ’25US$15.15
US$17.00
+12.2%
4.8%US$18.00US$16.00n/a3
May ’25US$15.37
US$16.33
+6.3%
2.9%US$17.00US$16.00n/a3
Apr ’25US$13.68
US$16.00
+17.0%
5.1%US$17.00US$15.00n/a3
Mar ’25US$13.65
US$16.00
+17.2%
5.1%US$17.00US$15.00n/a3
Feb ’25US$13.41
US$15.33
+14.3%
3.1%US$16.00US$15.00n/a3
Jan ’25US$13.17
US$15.33
+16.4%
3.1%US$16.00US$15.00n/a3
Dec ’24US$12.67
US$15.33
+21.0%
3.1%US$16.00US$15.00n/a3
Nov ’24US$10.70
US$15.33
+43.3%
3.1%US$16.00US$15.00US$14.623
Oct ’24US$15.03
US$20.67
+37.5%
11.4%US$24.00US$19.00US$14.153
Sep ’24US$15.25
US$20.67
+35.5%
11.4%US$24.00US$19.00US$13.773
Aug ’24US$15.83
US$20.67
+30.6%
11.4%US$24.00US$19.00US$12.993
Jul ’24US$14.59
US$20.67
+41.6%
11.4%US$24.00US$19.00US$13.613
Jun ’24US$14.62
US$20.67
+41.4%
11.4%US$24.00US$19.00US$15.153
May ’24US$14.34
US$21.33
+48.8%
9.6%US$24.00US$19.00US$15.373
Apr ’24US$15.49
US$22.33
+44.2%
5.6%US$24.00US$21.00US$13.683
Mar ’24US$15.11
US$22.33
+47.8%
5.6%US$24.00US$21.00US$13.653
Feb ’24US$15.88
US$22.33
+40.6%
5.6%US$24.00US$21.00US$13.413
Jan ’24US$16.63
US$22.33
+34.3%
5.6%US$24.00US$21.00US$13.173
Dec ’23US$18.99
US$22.33
+17.6%
5.6%US$24.00US$21.00US$12.673
Nov ’23US$17.00
US$21.00
+23.5%
3.9%US$22.00US$20.00US$10.703

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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