Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Texas Instruments Incorporated (NASDAQ:TXN) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
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What Is Texas Instruments's Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of June 2023, Texas Instruments had US$11.2b of debt, up from US$7.24b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$9.55b, its net debt is less, at about US$1.67b.
How Strong Is Texas Instruments' Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Texas Instruments had liabilities of US$2.71b due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$12.3b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$9.55b as well as receivables valued at US$1.96b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$3.49b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Since publicly traded Texas Instruments shares are worth a very impressive total of US$149.2b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. Carrying virtually no net debt, Texas Instruments has a very light debt load indeed.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Texas Instruments has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.17. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 31.8 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. But the bad news is that Texas Instruments has seen its EBIT plunge 16% in the last twelve months. If that rate of decline in earnings continues, the company could find itself in a tight spot. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Texas Instruments's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Texas Instruments produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 59% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
Our View
Texas Instruments's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But we must concede we find its EBIT growth rate has the opposite effect. All these things considered, it appears that Texas Instruments can comfortably handle its current debt levels. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Texas Instruments you should be aware of, and 1 of them can't be ignored.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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About NasdaqGS:TXN
Texas Instruments
Designs, manufactures, and sells semiconductors to electronics designers and manufacturers in the United States and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet with moderate growth potential.