What Does SunPower Corporation's (NASDAQ:SPWR) Share Price Indicate?

By
Simply Wall St
Published
June 26, 2018

SunPower Corporation (NASDAQ:SPWR), a semiconductor company based in United States, saw a decent share price growth in the teens level on the NasdaqGS over the last few months. As a stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. However, what if the stock is still a bargain? Let’s examine SunPower’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity. Check out our latest analysis for SunPower

What's the opportunity in SunPower?

The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to my relative valuation model. I’ve used the price-to-book ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows, and its earnings doesn’t seem to reflect its true value. The stock’s ratio of 2.43x is currently trading slightly below its industry peers’ ratio of 2.61x, which means if you buy SunPower today, you’d be paying a relatively reasonable price for it. And if you believe SunPower should be trading in this range, then there isn’t much room for the share price grow beyond what it’s currently trading. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because SunPower’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.

Can we expect growth from SunPower?

NasdaqGS:SPWR Future Profit June 26th 18
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. SunPower’s earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 87.21%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in SPWR’s positive outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at SPWR? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below its fair value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on SPWR, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for SPWR, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on SunPower. You can find everything you need to know about SunPower in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in SunPower, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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Simply Wall St has no position in any of the companies mentioned. This article is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.
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