Why Rigetti Computing (RGTI) Is Getting Attention Today

Rigetti Computing (RGTI) just secured US$100 million in funding from the U.S. Department of Commerce under the CHIPS and Science Act. The funding directly targets superconducting quantum scaling challenges.

Rigetti Computing’s share price has fallen 18.9% over the past month and 35.3% year to date, even though the 3 year total shareholder return is very large at roughly 7x and the 1 year total shareholder return is down 20.5%. As a result, this fresh CHIPS Act funding is arriving at a time when recent momentum has faded and investors are reassessing both upside potential and risk.

Scan how other quantum and AI infrastructure plays are reacting to this CHIPS-driven momentum by reviewing the 25 quantum computing stocks alongside Rigetti Computing.

Rigetti Computing now has fresh government backing and a long runway story, yet the share price has pulled back sharply. Is this still a strong quantum business that is simply mispriced, or is it already reflecting that promise?

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Most Popular Narrative: 5% Undervalued

Rigetti Computing closed at $15.27 while the most followed narrative anchors fair value at $16.00, which frames the stock as modestly mispriced rather than wildly off the mark.

Rigetti’s model is still early-stage and uneven. Revenue currently comes from system sales, cloud access, research and government-related contracts, and associated services, which means quarter-to-quarter results will remain lumpy. Q1 2026 is a good example: revenue improved sharply because of specific deliveries, not because Rigetti suddenly has a stable recurring-revenue engine.

See why 37 investors see Rigetti Computing as 5% undervalued.

According to HedgeY, the narrative leans heavily on two pillars: a stronger cash position and visible technical milestones, while still flagging a very early commercial profile. That mix helps explain why the fair value sits only slightly above the market price rather than implying a large disconnect.

The same thesis highlights that Rigetti Computing reported $4.4 million of revenue in Q1 2026 against full year 2025 revenue of $7.1 million, alongside a Q1 operating loss of $26.0 million and a non GAAP net loss of $14.7 million. The business ended that quarter with $569 million in cash and investments and no debt, which the author views as giving Rigetti more time to pursue its superconducting roadmap without immediate funding pressure.

On the risk side, the narrative points out that earlier pricing around a roughly $6.16b market cap rested on very small revenue and heavy losses, so a lot of future success was already embedded. Even with the fair value sitting a little above today’s $15.27 share price, that context reminds investors that the story still depends on execution around systems like Cepheus and Novera and on whether government and research buyers continue to place orders.

Result: Fair Value of $16.00 (UNDERVALUED)

Still, the Rigetti Computing story can break if high valuation expectations meet slower hardware progress, or if lumpy contracts keep financial losses front and center.

Find out about the key risks to this Rigetti Computing narrative.

Next Steps

Mixed signals around Rigetti Computing’s valuation can be confusing, so move quickly, review the underlying data, and consider how the balance of potential upside and downside looks for you with the 1 key reward and 2 important warning signs.

Looking for more Rigetti Computing style investment ideas?

Do not stop with Rigetti Computing alone. Round out your watchlist with a few focused stock ideas that fit different roles in your portfolio so you are not relying on a single story.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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About NasdaqCM:RGTI

Rigetti Computing

Through its subsidiaries, builds and operates quantum computers and the superconducting quantum processors the United States, the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, Asia, and internationally.

Flawless balance sheet with limited growth.

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Hello,(I am a shareholder).I spent the summer investigating in whatever I was able to find in the press, the trustee, or legal, and comparing it to FS Benner's declaration/transcripts:press: MM has a tendancy to use facts, modify them and turn them the way they want: 100% of their claims against TPG0 is traçable factually, 80% is flawed and interpreted. Example are numerous: 11M loans banks to be paid seems right, but it has not been an issue at all, it has been paid in full. (and it happens all the time in every business...); the previous HR becoming a financial director in the article herself being attacked by TPG on the legal side; the wrong address of curator (if truly announced by TPG).Trustee: according to my research (which can be incomplete) no communication to the Nordic trustee (hereby, bond holders) has been done on a, indebtedness (late payment) > 1M€, which is their obligation by contract (clause 14.d - https://corporate.the-platform-group.com/bond/) => this is a sign of a huge lie and fraud, or the sign that there is no indebtedness > 1M€ over the whole TPG group.Legal: still awaiting for an answer, probable that I won't get it.VALUATIONYou can spent hours working the fundamentals, if they're flawed...the thesis falls.Anyway, I always substracts the badwill (that I consider non-current - you have it in the CFS) & non-controlling interests from my valuation:Earnings ~22MFCF ~40M€The financial statements are not the issue here, we are more on an cheap option on the sincerity of the accounts that a real valuation. Unfortunately, these are unverifiable elements, hence the low price./!\ Careful:the accounts are consolidated and skip the subsidiaries issues...Careful with the business model: TPG0 is a financial holding that acquire subsidiaries, hold the debt, and has no operations. 100% of the Cash Flow comes from subs' dividends => it is a risk here, more a plumber risk than an operational one, but nevertheless...The auditor is too small, and managed by the same firm than before, with 140K€/year commission => it's too low, nobody external really reviewed what Benner and his team are doing internallycapital increase do not go through the CFS, but through change in equity AND equity in the BSIf the equity stays low too long, the WACC increase will be unbearable (I have a 30% global, with a 118% on equity): diluting is expensive => TPG machine can stay broken for a while.Most of the people I talk with never saw this, while this is ESSENTIAL to Benner's business model.SEVERAL EVENTS THAT COULD CHANGE:AEP is being audited by KPMG: if Benner plays the "we will propose KPMG to our shareholders BEOY", this can increase the trust in him significantly/KPMG (or other) to validate the 2026 IFRS accounts & having a word on HGB's: though still consolidated, at least we'll know...AEP being eventually acquired: while it carries a high integration risk due to its size, they talked about it so many times, that trust goes with it.Without this combination of event, the equity is doomed to stay at this level, IMO.Do not forget to also follow the bond: with TPG's announced safe harbor plan for buyback (25% of daily exchange), it is also interesting to check this illiquid and retail market: https://live.deutsche-boerse.com/bond/no0013256834-the-platform-group-ag-8-875-24-28?mic=XFRA

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