Stock Analysis

Rigetti Computing, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:RGTI) Stock Retreats 29% But Revenues Haven't Escaped The Attention Of Investors

NasdaqCM:RGTI
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The Rigetti Computing, Inc. (NASDAQ:RGTI) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 29%. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 60% share price decline.

Although its price has dipped substantially, Rigetti Computing may still be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 12.7x, since almost half of all companies in the Semiconductor industry in the United States have P/S ratios under 4x and even P/S lower than 1.6x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for Rigetti Computing

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:RGTI Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 15th 2024

What Does Rigetti Computing's Recent Performance Look Like?

Rigetti Computing hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. Perhaps the market is expecting the poor revenue to reverse, justifying it's current high P/S.. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Rigetti Computing's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Rigetti Computing would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 12%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 83% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 65% each year during the coming three years according to the five analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 28% each year, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we can see why Rigetti Computing is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Final Word

Even after such a strong price drop, Rigetti Computing's P/S still exceeds the industry median significantly. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Rigetti Computing maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the Semiconductor industry, as expected. It appears that shareholders are confident in the company's future revenues, which is propping up the P/S. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Rigetti Computing.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Rigetti Computing, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.