Rigetti Computing Future Growth
Future criteria checks 2/6
Rigetti Computing is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 45% and 47.4% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 34.1% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be -23.3% in 3 years.
Key information
45.0%
Earnings growth rate
34.07%
EPS growth rate
| Semiconductor earnings growth | 25.9% |
| Revenue growth rate | 47.4% |
| Future return on equity | -23.26% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 12 May 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
A Pure-Play Quantum Hardware Bet With Real Technical Optionality and Very Little Margin for Error
Rating: Highly Speculative / Selective buy on pullbacks Style: Quantum hardware optionality Core debate: Is Rigetti becoming a credible superconducting quantum hardware contender with improving commercialization and a much stronger balance sheet, or is the stock still far ahead of the company’s real economic progress? Executive view Rigetti looks better today than it did in the prior version of the thesis, mainly because the company now has a fresher proof point: Q1 2026 revenue of $4.4 million , up sharply year over year, helped by Novera system deliveries , while still maintaining $569 million of cash, cash equivalents, and investments and zero debt.Rigetti's Hidden Edge The Market Ignores
Summary Rigetti Computing holds $590M in cash and zero debt, securing a multi-year runway without dilution despite ~$58.5M in negative operating cash flow. Fab-1 enables 5–15 week chip cycles versus the industry's 22–40 weeks, accelerating iteration and supporting the 150Q (FY26) and 1,000Q (FY27) roadmaps. Q4-FY25 revenue declined to $1.87M from $2.3M YoY, while OpEx rose to $23.2M, driving a $22.6M operating loss. Gross margins compressed to 35% from 44% due to low-margin dilution refrigerator integration, pressuring the near-term profitability outlook. Valuation remains extreme at ~272x EV/Sales versus ~3x sector median, leaving minimal room for execution delays or technical setbacks. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Rigetti Computing, Inc. (RGTI): The "NPU Integration" and the Q1 2026 Quantum Speedup
Rigetti Computing, Inc. (RGTI) is currently at a critical junction in the quantum hardware race, with shares trading at $3.12 USD as of Wednesday, April 15, 2026 , following a 3.45% intraday gain.
Rigetti Computing Inc. – $100 Million UK Expansion to Scale Next-Generation Quantum Computing
Rigetti Computing Inc. – $100 Million UK Expansion to Scale Next-Generation Quantum Computing Analyst: Qudus Adebara (Head of equity, Wane Investment House) Rigetti Computing Inc.Deep Analysis Shows Rigetti's High-Risk Growth Horizon (Rating Upgrade)
Summary Rigetti Computing, Inc.’s multi-chip scaling and in-house Fab-1 aim to catch IBM and IonQ, but quantum advantage remains unproven. Intense R&D drives heavy losses. Revenue growth is sluggish, with 2024 down to $10.8M. Annual burn of $60M drains $190M liquidity; watch for equity dilution. Valuation is lofty, but potential alpha justifies a tiny allocation. Cautious macro stance: hold 20–30% in cash equivalents. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRigetti Computing: Quantum Hype Meets Market Reality - A Cautious Hold
Summary Quantum computing stocks, particularly Rigetti Computing, have surged dramatically, driven by speculative hype similar to the GameStop short squeeze, despite practical applications being years away. Industry leaders like Mark Zuckerberg and Jensen Huang express skepticism about near-term quantum computing applications, underscoring the speculative nature of current investments. Rigetti's unique gate-based approach, vertical integration, and strategic partnerships position it well, but the stock's extreme volatility and high valuation warrant cautious monitoring. Despite the hype, Rigetti's ambitious roadmap and AI-driven market interest suggest potential long-term gains, making it a cautious hold for now. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRigetti Computing: Out With AI, In With Quantum Computing
Summary Quantum Computing and QPUs are emerging as the new technological frontier beyond AI and GPUs, with RGTI already seeing a +325.5% stock price surge since December 2024. RGTI's advancements, including its 84-qubit Quantum Processing Unit and future 100-qubit system, promise significant growth and reduced error rates. With some hyperscalers already embracing QPUs and a public launch of RGTI's Ankaa-3 QPU expected in Q1'25, we may see FY2025/FY2026 bring forth an accelerated top-line growth prospect. However, it is undeniable that RGTI's overly inflated valuations and lack of near-term profitability offer a minimal margin of safety, worsened by the potential Quantum Computing bubble. Investors should be cautious of chasing overpriced stocks in an uncertain market, especially since QPUs remain in their early days, with wide scale monetization likely far away. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRigetti Computing: Overvalued With A High Cash Burn Rate
Summary Rigetti Computing has been up over 716% over the past month solely on what I believe to be investor excitement around quantum computing that's too premature to be sustainable. Despite the massive potential in quantum computing, the Company's financials show significant losses and a high cash burn rate, which honestly raises my concern about its long-term viability. The stock's valuation shows that it's highly overvalued at current levels, and the stock trades at twice its price targets. Going forward, I'll be watching RGTI from afar for materialization in its partnerships, but until then, I don't advise investors to jump in. I hereon share my cautious sentiment on Rigetti and why I think the stock run up will cause a crash in the near term. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaEarnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 100 | -72 | -97 | -62 | 6 |
| 12/31/2027 | 44 | -73 | -64 | -64 | 12 |
| 12/31/2026 | 23 | -16 | -53 | -51 | 9 |
| 3/31/2026 | 10 | -226 | -82 | -61 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 7 | -216 | -77 | -59 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 7 | -351 | -68 | -52 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 8 | -165 | -66 | -54 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 9 | -138 | -59 | -51 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 11 | -201 | -62 | -51 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 12 | -61 | -66 | -55 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 13 | -68 | -54 | -44 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 13 | -73 | -58 | -48 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 12 | -75 | -60 | -51 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 15 | -85 | -63 | -52 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 14 | -82 | -79 | -61 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 13 | -77 | -87 | -63 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 13 | -72 | -85 | -63 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 9 | -63 | -79 | -58 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 9 | -54 | -67 | -53 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 9 | -52 | -51 | -42 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 9 | -42 | -39 | -32 | N/A |
| 10/31/2021 | 8 | -38 | -36 | -29 | N/A |
| 7/31/2021 | 7 | -34 | -36 | -29 | N/A |
| 4/30/2021 | 6 | -30 | -35 | -30 | N/A |
| 1/31/2021 | 6 | -26 | -34 | -30 | N/A |
| 1/31/2020 | 1 | -54 | N/A | -37 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: RGTI is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.
Earnings vs Market: RGTI is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.
High Growth Earnings: RGTI is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: RGTI's revenue (47.4% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (11.6% per year).
High Growth Revenue: RGTI's revenue (47.4% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: RGTI is forecast to be unprofitable in 3 years.
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/14 23:57 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/14 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
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Industry and Sector Metrics
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Analyst Sources
Rigetti Computing, Inc. is covered by 14 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Brian Kinstlinger | Alliance Global Partners |
| David Williams | Benchmark Company |
| Craig Ellis | B. Riley Securities, Inc. |