MaxLinear, Inc.

NasdaqGS:MXL Stock Report

Market Cap: US$6.3b

MaxLinear Future Growth

Future criteria checks 6/6

MaxLinear is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 83.1% and 22.9% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 83% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 27.4% in 3 years.

Key information

83.1%

Earnings growth rate

83.05%

EPS growth rate

Semiconductor earnings growth30.5%
Revenue growth rate22.9%
Future return on equity27.43%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated13 Aug 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Sep 09

MaxLinear's Brutal Dip Creates Buy Opportunity

Summary MaxLinear, Inc. is rated 'Buy' following a 50%+ dip, with a $105/share price target and 67% upside potential. MXL's Keystone PAM4 DSP, Rushmore, and Annapurna platforms, plus Panther accelerators, are expected to drive substantial growth through 2027-2028. Q2 2026 saw Infrastructure segment revenue up 145% YoY; Q3 guidance implies 27% QoQ growth and ~60% adjusted gross margin. Consensus FY2027-2028 estimates appear conservative; a forward PEG ratio of 0.50-0.60x suggests undervaluation despite execution and ramp risks. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Aug 12

MXL: AI Data Center Euphoria Will Likely Outpace Optical Delivery Timing

MaxLinear's updated analyst fair value estimate has increased from $40.00 to about $49.53 as analysts respond to higher Street price targets tied to stronger AI driven data center and optical infrastructure expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent research on MaxLinear shows a wide range of views on how the stock should be valued, even though most of the fresh reports reference strong interest in AI data center and optical infrastructure themes.
Analysis Article • Jul 29

Brokers Are Upgrading Their Views On MaxLinear, Inc. (NASDAQ:MXL) With These New Forecasts

Shareholders in MaxLinear, Inc. ( NASDAQ:MXL ) may be thrilled to learn that the analysts have just delivered a major...
Narrative Update • Jul 29

MXL: AI Optical Data Center Demand Will Support Future Repricing

Analysts have raised the MaxLinear fair value estimate from $68.36 to $94.55, citing higher projected revenue growth, improved profit margin assumptions, and a lower future P/E multiple, which they note is supported by recent Street research highlighting stronger data center and AI optical demand. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on MaxLinear points to a cluster of higher price targets and fresh coverage that centers on AI related optical and data center exposure.
Narrative Update • Jul 15

MXL: AI Infrastructure Focus Will Drive Future Repricing Of Elevated P/E

For MaxLinear, the analyst fair value estimate has shifted from $73.73 to $125.00. Analysts point to the growing AI data center and optical infrastructure opportunity as key support for the higher price targets.
Narrative Update • Jul 01

MXL: AI Optical Hype Will Pressure Future Repricing Assumptions

MaxLinear's updated analyst price target of $68.36, compared with the previous fair value estimate of $21.55, reflects analysts' focus on its expanding data center and AI optical infrastructure ambitions, as well as the potential for a higher margin infrastructure mix. Analyst Commentary Recent research on MaxLinear centers on how the stock reflects its growing exposure to AI driven data center and optical infrastructure, as well as the company’s longer term infrastructure ambitions.
Narrative Update • Jun 17

MXL: AI Infrastructure Hype Will Likely Outrun Optical Execution Visibility

Analysts have sharply raised their price targets on MaxLinear stock, with recent moves such as Stifel lifting its target to $105 from $49 and Northland to $110 from $55, citing a broader rerating of AI focused data center semiconductor companies and growing confidence in MaxLinear's AI optical and infrastructure exposure. Analyst Commentary Recent research on MaxLinear highlights a cluster of higher price targets and supportive views around the company’s position in AI optical and infrastructure markets.
Narrative Update • Jun 01

MXL: AI Infrastructure Euphoria Will Likely Magnify Execution And Rerating Risk

Analysts have lifted the implied fair value for MaxLinear stock from $17.00 to $40.00, citing higher assumed revenue growth, a sharply higher future P/E, and growing interest in the company's AI optical and infrastructure exposure, as reflected in a series of recent Buy ratings and price target increases. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage highlights a shift in how the stock is being framed, with several firms focusing on AI optical and infrastructure exposure, higher assumed revenue growth, and a richer future P/E.
Narrative Update • May 14

MXL: Infrastructure Demand Inflection Will Eventually Fail To Justify Current P/E

Analysts have sharply lifted their MaxLinear price targets, with the updated fair value estimate moving from about $27.50 to roughly $73.73. Recent initiations, upgrades and target hikes reflect higher assumed revenue growth, a lower profit margin outlook and a much higher future P/E multiple.
Narrative Update • Apr 24

MXL: Higher Expectations For Margins Will Likely Expose Execution Risk

Analysts have raised their price targets on MaxLinear by $11 and $12 in recent research, citing updated expectations for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E assumptions as key factors behind the revised valuation views. Analyst Commentary While recent research has pointed to higher valuation benchmarks for MaxLinear, some bearish analysts are still flagging important risks that could limit how much upside investors are willing to pay for at current levels.
Narrative Update • Apr 08

MXL: Discount Rate And Margin Assumptions Will Support Future Repricing Potential

Analysts have increased their price target on MaxLinear by $3, reflecting updated assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E that keep fair value around $21.55. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts see the higher price target as consistent with updated assumptions that still anchor fair value around US$21.55, which they view as a reasonable reflection of current information on revenue, margins, and P/E.
Narrative Update • Mar 25

MXL: Higher Margin Focus And Buybacks Will Support Future Repricing

Analysts have raised their price target on MaxLinear by $3. This reflects adjustments to their assumptions on profit margins, discount rate and future P/E expectations.
Narrative Update • Mar 09

MXL: Rising Margin Conviction And Buybacks Will Support Future Repricing

Analysts have lifted their price target on MaxLinear by $3, reflecting updated views on its profit margin outlook and valuation multiples while keeping estimated fair value broadly in line. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to the raised price target as a reflection of improved conviction in MaxLinear's profit margin outlook, suggesting that recent adjustments better capture its earnings potential.
Narrative Update • Feb 23

MXL: Higher Earnings Margins And Buybacks Will Support Bullish Repricing

Analysts have lifted their price target on MaxLinear by $1.70 to $21.55, reflecting updated assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples discussed in recent research. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts see the higher US$21.55 target as consistent with updated views on what they consider a fair value range for MaxLinear, given current assumptions around revenue growth and profit margins used in their models.
Narrative Update • Feb 09

MXL: Higher Fair Value And Buybacks Will Likely Mask Execution Risk

Narrative Update: MaxLinear Analyst Price Target Shift Analysts have lifted their MaxLinear fair value estimate from $16.00 to $17.00, citing revised assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E expectations as key factors behind the change. Analyst Commentary While some analysts have raised their fair value expectations for MaxLinear, others remain cautious and highlight several risks that they believe could limit upside for the stock.
Narrative Update • Jan 25

MXL: Raised Expectations And Buybacks Will Likely Struggle Against Execution Risk

Narrative update on MaxLinear Analysts have lifted their price target on MaxLinear by $3, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E as the key drivers behind this change. Analyst Commentary While the latest target move reflects updated assumptions on revenue, margins and future P/E, not every part of the Street is leaning in the same direction.
Narrative Update • Jan 11

MXL: Recovery Hopes And Buybacks Will Face Tight Margin Of Safety

Analysts have nudged their price target on MaxLinear up by $2 to $23, citing what they describe as another solid quarter and a view that the company is steadily rebuilding after a pronounced downcycle. Analyst Commentary While the higher US$23 price target reflects some renewed confidence in MaxLinear's recovery after its downcycle, not all commentary skews positive.
Narrative Update • Dec 15

MXL Share Buybacks And 5G Wins Will Drive Measured Recovery Ahead

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for MaxLinear higher, lifting the target from $15.00 to $16.00 as they point to solid Q3 execution and a return to more stable growth following the recent industry downcycle. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research points to a more constructive stance on MaxLinear in the wake of its Q3 results, with at least one firm lifting its price target into the low $20s and reiterating a favorable rating.
Analysis Article • Nov 19

Lacklustre Performance Is Driving MaxLinear, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MXL) 26% Price Drop

MaxLinear, Inc. ( NASDAQ:MXL ) shares have had a horrible month, losing 26% after a relatively good period beforehand...
Analysis Article • Sep 16

At US$16.60, Is It Time To Put MaxLinear, Inc. (NASDAQ:MXL) On Your Watch List?

MaxLinear, Inc. ( NASDAQ:MXL ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a significant share price rise of 42% in the...
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New Narrative • May 16

Data Centers, Broadband And Wireless Advances Will Open Future Markets

Strong progress in data center products and new market applications positions MaxLinear for significant revenue growth in the future.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:MXL - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20281,1151673293516
12/31/202795411926431411
12/31/2026738-7379810
6/30/2026569-104116N/A
3/31/2026509-132222N/A
12/31/2025468-137020N/A
9/30/2025423-180-38-19N/A
6/30/2025378-210-78-59N/A
3/31/2025361-223-89-73N/A
12/31/2024361-245-69-45N/A
9/30/2024394-226-56-34N/A
6/30/2024448-190-35-16N/A
3/31/2024540-155-517N/A
12/31/2023693-732443N/A
9/30/2023858-494129N/A
6/30/20231,00965156204N/A
3/31/20231,105101248297N/A
12/31/20221,120125336389N/A
9/30/20221,078122287335N/A
6/30/20221,022103309358N/A
3/31/202294772213262N/A
12/31/202189242121168N/A
9/30/2021839-11188226N/A
6/30/2021766-5797126N/A
3/31/2021626-7986107N/A
12/31/2020479-995874N/A
9/30/2020354-821427N/A
6/30/2020277-505766N/A
3/31/2020295-31N/A69N/A
12/31/2019317-20N/A78N/A
9/30/2019335-11N/A74N/A
6/30/2019340-21N/A83N/A
3/31/2019359-33N/A107N/A
12/31/2018385-26N/A103N/A
9/30/2018411-46N/A100N/A
6/30/2018440-41N/A107N/A
3/31/2018442-16N/A64N/A
12/31/2017420-9N/A75N/A
9/30/201739419N/A81N/A
6/30/201737637N/A62N/A
3/31/201737449N/A101N/A
12/31/201638861N/A117N/A
9/30/201640044N/A114N/A
6/30/201639936N/A118N/A
3/31/2016368-17N/A90N/A
12/31/2015300-42N/A55N/A
9/30/2015234-36N/A25N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: MXL is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (3.7%).

Earnings vs Market: MXL is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: MXL is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: MXL's revenue (22.9% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (13.4% per year).

High Growth Revenue: MXL's revenue (22.9% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: MXL's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (27.4%)

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/09/11 04:16
End of Day Share Price 2026/09/11 00:00
Earnings2026/06/30
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

MaxLinear, Inc. is covered by 16 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Karl AckermanBNP Paribas
Jaywant SrivatsaChardan Capital Markets, LLC
Alex GaunaCitizens JMP Securities, LLC