MaxLinear Valuation

Is MXL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MXL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MXL ($18.51) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($28.83)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MXL is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MXL?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

MXL key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA31.9x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does MXL's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for MXL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average6.7x
SMTC Semtech
2.1x6.9%US$1.8b
SGH SMART Global Holdings
1x8.1%US$1.4b
SITM SiTime
14.4x21.7%US$2.1b
AMBA Ambarella
9.1x18.4%US$2.1b
MXL MaxLinear
2.2x2.9%US$1.5b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: MXL is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.2x) compared to the peer average (6.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MXL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Semiconductor Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a24.5%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a24.5%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: MXL is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.2x) compared to the US Semiconductor industry average (3.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MXL's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MXL PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio2.2x
Fair PS Ratio2.9x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: MXL is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MXL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$18.51
US$20.73
+12.0%
16.2%US$26.00US$15.00n/a11
Mar ’25US$20.30
US$20.73
+2.1%
16.2%US$26.00US$15.00n/a11
Feb ’25US$18.52
US$20.73
+11.9%
16.2%US$26.00US$15.00n/a11
Jan ’25US$23.77
US$23.55
-0.9%
20.6%US$35.00US$18.00n/a11
Dec ’24US$18.99
US$23.45
+23.5%
20.9%US$35.00US$18.00n/a11
Nov ’24US$15.28
US$23.45
+53.5%
20.9%US$35.00US$18.00n/a11
Oct ’24US$22.25
US$32.73
+47.1%
19.9%US$45.00US$25.00n/a11
Sep ’24US$24.09
US$32.73
+35.9%
19.9%US$45.00US$25.00n/a11
Aug ’24US$24.51
US$32.73
+33.5%
19.9%US$45.00US$25.00n/a11
Jul ’24US$31.56
US$37.55
+19.0%
16.7%US$50.00US$25.00n/a11
Jun ’24US$28.53
US$37.55
+31.6%
16.7%US$50.00US$25.00n/a11
May ’24US$24.53
US$37.18
+51.6%
18.3%US$50.00US$25.00n/a11
Apr ’24US$35.21
US$47.36
+34.5%
16.8%US$60.00US$30.00n/a11
Mar ’24US$34.67
US$47.36
+36.6%
16.8%US$60.00US$30.00US$20.3011
Feb ’24US$43.24
US$49.40
+14.2%
12.3%US$60.00US$35.00US$18.5210
Jan ’24US$33.95
US$49.00
+44.3%
13.0%US$60.00US$35.00US$23.7710
Dec ’23US$36.64
US$49.00
+33.7%
13.0%US$60.00US$35.00US$18.9910
Nov ’23US$31.47
US$49.00
+55.7%
13.0%US$60.00US$35.00US$15.2810
Oct ’23US$32.62
US$58.00
+77.8%
18.4%US$85.00US$45.00US$22.2510
Sep ’23US$34.30
US$58.00
+69.1%
18.4%US$85.00US$45.00US$24.0910
Aug ’23US$40.27
US$58.00
+44.0%
18.4%US$85.00US$45.00US$24.5110
Jul ’23US$31.62
US$61.60
+94.8%
22.2%US$85.00US$30.00US$31.5610
Jun ’23US$39.88
US$61.60
+54.5%
22.2%US$85.00US$30.00US$28.5310
May ’23US$47.87
US$70.10
+46.4%
15.5%US$90.00US$55.00US$24.5310
Apr ’23US$56.45
US$77.60
+37.5%
11.0%US$90.00US$65.00US$35.2110
Mar ’23US$58.48
US$77.60
+32.7%
11.0%US$90.00US$65.00US$34.6710

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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