Stock Analysis

Canadian Solar's (NASDAQ:CSIQ) Returns Have Hit A Wall

NasdaqGS:CSIQ
Source: Shutterstock

What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. So, when we ran our eye over Canadian Solar's (NASDAQ:CSIQ) trend of ROCE, we liked what we saw.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?

For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for Canadian Solar, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.11 = US$414m ÷ (US$9.0b - US$5.3b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2022).

Thus, Canadian Solar has an ROCE of 11%. In absolute terms, that's a pretty normal return, and it's somewhat close to the Semiconductor industry average of 13%.

View our latest analysis for Canadian Solar

roce
NasdaqGS:CSIQ Return on Capital Employed May 12th 2023

In the above chart we have measured Canadian Solar's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

SWOT Analysis for Canadian Solar

Strength
  • Earnings growth over the past year exceeded the industry.
  • Debt is well covered by earnings and cashflows.
Weakness
  • No major weaknesses identified for CSIQ.
Opportunity
  • Annual earnings are forecast to grow faster than the American market.
  • Good value based on P/E ratio and estimated fair value.
Threat
  • Revenue is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

What Does the ROCE Trend For Canadian Solar Tell Us?

While the current returns on capital are decent, they haven't changed much. Over the past five years, ROCE has remained relatively flat at around 11% and the business has deployed 112% more capital into its operations. 11% is a pretty standard return, and it provides some comfort knowing that Canadian Solar has consistently earned this amount. Stable returns in this ballpark can be unexciting, but if they can be maintained over the long run, they often provide nice rewards to shareholders.

One more thing to note, even though ROCE has remained relatively flat over the last five years, the reduction in current liabilities to 58% of total assets, is good to see from a business owner's perspective. Effectively suppliers now fund less of the business, which can lower some elements of risk. We'd like to see this trend continue though because as it stands today, thats still a pretty high level.

The Bottom Line On Canadian Solar's ROCE

The main thing to remember is that Canadian Solar has proven its ability to continually reinvest at respectable rates of return. And long term investors would be thrilled with the 111% return they've received over the last five years. So even though the stock might be more "expensive" than it was before, we think the strong fundamentals warrant this stock for further research.

On a final note, we've found 1 warning sign for Canadian Solar that we think you should be aware of.

While Canadian Solar isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.