Avolta AG

OTCPK:DFRY.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$5.7b

Avolta Valuation

Is DFRY.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DFRY.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$47.88
Fair Value
11.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
15
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: DFRY.F ($42.61) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($47.88)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DFRY.F is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DFRY.F?

Key metric: As DFRY.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for DFRY.F. This is calculated by dividing DFRY.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is DFRY.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio41.3x
EarningsCHF 126.40m
Market CapCHF 5.21b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DFRY.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DFRY.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.2x
FIVE Five Below
20.4x8.1%US$5.6b
BBWI Bath & Body Works
8.7x0.2%US$8.0b
ASO Academy Sports and Outdoors
9x4.0%US$4.0b
SIG Signet Jewelers
6.7x16.5%US$3.4b
DFRY.F Avolta
41.3x20.0%US$5.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DFRY.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (41.3x) compared to the peer average (11.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DFRY.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Specialty Retail Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TKLF Tokyo Lifestyle
2.1xn/aUS$14.57m
SSOK Sunstock
0.8xn/aUS$553.22k
MASN Maison Luxe
0.1xn/aUS$240.04k
No more companies available in this PE range
DFRY.F 41.3xIndustry Avg. 16.1xNo. of Companies13PE01224364860+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DFRY.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (41.3x) compared to the US Specialty Retail industry average (16.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DFRY.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DFRY.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio41.3x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate DFRY.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DFRY.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
US$50.82
0%
19.0%US$64.86US$32.43n/a15
Jan ’26US$42.61
US$50.82
+19.3%
19.0%US$64.86US$32.43n/a15
Dec ’25US$36.40
US$51.24
+40.8%
19.0%US$65.39US$32.69n/a15
Nov ’25US$36.91
US$54.78
+48.4%
17.2%US$68.92US$40.20n/a14
Oct ’25US$40.50
US$57.14
+41.1%
16.3%US$68.49US$42.51n/a13
Sep ’25US$36.23
US$56.65
+56.4%
16.2%US$70.39US$42.23n/a14
Aug ’25US$39.21
US$55.68
+42.0%
16.0%US$68.68US$41.21n/a14
Jul ’25US$39.00
US$53.56
+37.3%
15.1%US$65.69US$40.51n/a14
Jun ’25US$38.70
US$53.56
+38.4%
15.1%US$65.69US$40.51n/a14
May ’25US$35.69
US$55.44
+55.3%
15.7%US$68.38US$42.17n/a14
Apr ’25US$39.11
US$55.44
+41.7%
15.7%US$68.38US$42.17n/a14
Mar ’25US$40.39
US$54.93
+36.0%
15.3%US$68.29US$42.11n/a15
Feb ’25n/a
US$56.71
0%
14.9%US$69.54US$42.89n/a14
Jan ’25US$39.31
US$56.22
+43.0%
15.2%US$69.99US$42.45US$42.6114
Dec ’24US$34.18
US$56.72
+65.9%
13.6%US$69.80US$45.77US$36.4014
Nov ’24US$34.71
US$56.18
+61.9%
13.9%US$68.88US$44.44US$36.9116
Oct ’24US$37.86
US$55.34
+46.2%
14.5%US$67.24US$44.09US$40.5016
Sep ’24US$44.20
US$57.10
+29.2%
14.2%US$69.57US$45.62US$36.2317
Aug ’24US$49.20
US$56.81
+15.5%
14.5%US$68.80US$43.57US$39.2117
Jul ’24US$45.50
US$54.33
+19.4%
14.5%US$66.04US$40.72US$39.0017
Jun ’24US$46.03
US$54.60
+18.6%
14.2%US$64.03US$40.85US$38.7016
May ’24US$45.79
US$54.83
+19.7%
15.2%US$64.10US$40.89US$35.6915
Apr ’24US$43.91
US$53.83
+22.6%
15.2%US$63.45US$40.48US$39.1116
Mar ’24US$44.27
US$50.94
+15.1%
15.9%US$61.97US$37.40US$40.3915
Feb ’24US$48.00
US$51.27
+6.8%
17.5%US$62.68US$32.42n/a14
Jan ’24US$41.50
US$49.55
+19.4%
17.1%US$61.59US$31.86US$39.3114
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 15 Analysts
US$53.58
Fair Value
20.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
15
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/09 16:24
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/31 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Avolta AG is covered by 36 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Volker BosseBaader Helvea Equity Research
Mariano SzachtmanBanco Santander
Carlos Javier Treviño PeinadorBanco Santander