Avolta AG

OTCPK:DFRY.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$5.5b

Avolta Valuation

Is DFRY.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DFRY.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DFRY.F ($36.4) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($36.6)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DFRY.F is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DFRY.F?

Key metric: As DFRY.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for DFRY.F. This is calculated by dividing DFRY.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is DFRY.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio38.5x
EarningsCHF 126.40m
Market CapCHF 4.87b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DFRY.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DFRY.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average10.7x
FIVE Five Below
18.2x4.4%US$4.9b
BBWI Bath & Body Works
8.4x0.2%US$7.6b
SIG Signet Jewelers
9.2x9.2%US$4.5b
ASO Academy Sports and Outdoors
7x3.3%US$3.4b
DFRY.F Avolta
38.5x23.1%US$4.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DFRY.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.5x) compared to the peer average (10.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DFRY.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Specialty Retail Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TKLF Tokyo Lifestyle
2xn/aUS$14.48m
SSOK Sunstock
1.3xn/aUS$723.59k
MASN Maison Luxe
0.08xn/aUS$144.03k
EXPR.Q Express
0.000002xn/aUS$37.84k
DFRY.F 38.5xIndustry Avg. 18.1xNo. of Companies15PE01224364860+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DFRY.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.5x) compared to the US Specialty Retail industry average (18.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DFRY.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DFRY.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio38.5x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate DFRY.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DFRY.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$36.40
US$51.24
+40.8%
19.0%US$65.39US$32.69n/a15
Nov ’25US$36.91
US$54.78
+48.4%
17.2%US$68.92US$40.20n/a14
Oct ’25US$40.50
US$57.14
+41.1%
16.3%US$68.49US$42.51n/a13
Sep ’25US$36.23
US$56.65
+56.4%
16.2%US$70.39US$42.23n/a14
Aug ’25US$39.21
US$55.68
+42.0%
16.0%US$68.68US$41.21n/a14
Jul ’25US$39.00
US$53.56
+37.3%
15.1%US$65.69US$40.51n/a14
Jun ’25US$38.70
US$53.56
+38.4%
15.1%US$65.69US$40.51n/a14
May ’25US$35.69
US$55.44
+55.3%
15.7%US$68.38US$42.17n/a14
Apr ’25US$39.11
US$55.44
+41.7%
15.7%US$68.38US$42.17n/a14
Mar ’25US$40.39
US$54.93
+36.0%
15.3%US$68.29US$42.11n/a15
Feb ’25n/a
US$56.71
0%
14.9%US$69.54US$42.89n/a14
Jan ’25US$39.31
US$56.22
+43.0%
15.2%US$69.99US$42.45n/a14
Dec ’24US$34.18
US$56.72
+65.9%
13.6%US$69.80US$45.77n/a14
Nov ’24US$34.71
US$56.18
+61.9%
13.9%US$68.88US$44.44US$36.9116
Oct ’24US$37.86
US$55.34
+46.2%
14.5%US$67.24US$44.09US$40.5016
Sep ’24US$44.20
US$57.10
+29.2%
14.2%US$69.57US$45.62US$36.2317
Aug ’24US$49.20
US$56.81
+15.5%
14.5%US$68.80US$43.57US$39.2117
Jul ’24US$45.50
US$54.33
+19.4%
14.5%US$66.04US$40.72US$39.0017
Jun ’24US$46.03
US$54.60
+18.6%
14.2%US$64.03US$40.85US$38.7016
May ’24US$45.79
US$54.83
+19.7%
15.2%US$64.10US$40.89US$35.6915
Apr ’24US$43.91
US$53.83
+22.6%
15.2%US$63.45US$40.48US$39.1116
Mar ’24US$44.27
US$50.94
+15.1%
15.9%US$61.97US$37.40US$40.3915
Feb ’24US$48.00
US$51.27
+6.8%
17.5%US$62.68US$32.42n/a14
Jan ’24US$41.50
US$49.55
+19.4%
17.1%US$61.59US$31.86US$39.3114
Dec ’23US$40.40
US$49.02
+21.3%
17.1%US$60.93US$31.52US$34.1814
Nov ’23US$34.40
US$46.47
+35.1%
18.6%US$58.49US$30.25US$34.7114

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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