How Holiday Boycott Efforts Could Shape Home Depot’s (HD) Brand Narrative This Season

Simply Wall St
  • In recent days, Home Depot has faced a growing grassroots boycott over its perceived connection to ICE raids, raising concerns about consumer sentiment during the important holiday shopping season.
  • This backlash coincides with Home Depot’s expansion of holiday marketing campaigns and community-focused initiatives, increasing scrutiny of the company's brand values as it aims to strengthen its customer base and reputation.
  • We’ll examine how reputational risks during peak retail periods may affect Home Depot's investment narrative and future expectations.

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Home Depot Investment Narrative Recap

To own shares of Home Depot, investors must believe in the company's ability to convert ongoing digital and supply chain investments into operational gains, while weathering cyclical demand swings and reputational risks. The emerging grassroots boycott linked to ICE raids could weigh on near-term sentiment during the pivotal holiday shopping period, but initial indications suggest the overall impact on the company's primary sales catalysts appears immaterial when compared to more persistent risks, such as softer demand for large-scale remodeling projects.

One recent announcement drawing attention is Home Depot’s new holiday campaign, “The Right Tree,” which aims to boost customer engagement and sales during the peak season. This initiative stands out amid scrutiny about the company’s social policies, illustrating the tension between effective retail marketing and reputational risk management at a critical time for sales momentum.

However, with persistent softness in big-ticket renovation projects and mounting inventory levels, the bigger concern for investors might be around how...

Read the full narrative on Home Depot (it's free!)

Home Depot's outlook projects $182.4 billion in revenue and $17.4 billion in earnings by 2028. This implies annual revenue growth of 3.4%, and an earnings increase of $2.8 billion from the current $14.6 billion.

Uncover how Home Depot's forecasts yield a $437.81 fair value, a 19% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

HD Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025

Seven members of the Simply Wall St Community set fair value for Home Depot shares between US$298 and US$438. With consumer sentiment under pressure and reputational risks in focus, see how these diverse opinions reflect shifting expectations for revenue growth and profitability.

Explore 7 other fair value estimates on Home Depot - why the stock might be worth 19% less than the current price!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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