Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc.

NYSE:FND Stock Report

Market Cap: US$10.7b

Floor & Decor Holdings Valuation

Is FND undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FND when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FND ($99.9) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($191.07)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FND is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FND?

Key metric: As FND is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for FND. This is calculated by dividing FND's market cap by their current earnings.
What is FND's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio54.8x
EarningsUS$195.47m
Market CapUS$10.71b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does FND's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for FND vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.4x
LOW Lowe's Companies
20.5x5.9%US$140.2b
BWMX Betterware de MéxicoP.I. de
9.2x36.4%US$398.5m
PAG Penske Automotive Group
11.9x2.7%US$10.4b
MUSA Murphy USA
20.1x7.2%US$10.2b
FND Floor & Decor Holdings
54.8x17.5%US$10.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: FND is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (54.8x) compared to the peer average (15.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FND's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Specialty Retail Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TKLF Tokyo Lifestyle
2.3xn/aUS$15.83m
SSOK Sunstock
1xn/aUS$756.28k
MASN Maison Luxe
0.1xn/aUS$192.03k
EXPR.Q Express
0.00005xn/aUS$9.74k
FND 54.8xIndustry Avg. 16.5xNo. of Companies11PE01224364860+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: FND is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (54.8x) compared to the US Specialty Retail industry average (16.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FND's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FND PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio54.8x
Fair PE Ratio19.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: FND is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (54.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FND forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$99.90
US$104.04
+4.1%
16.0%US$135.00US$64.00n/a25
Dec ’25US$112.21
US$104.04
-7.3%
16.0%US$135.00US$64.00n/a25
Nov ’25US$103.76
US$104.22
+0.4%
16.2%US$135.00US$64.00n/a25
Oct ’25US$121.28
US$101.61
-16.2%
16.5%US$135.00US$66.00n/a25
Sep ’25US$112.44
US$97.89
-12.9%
12.7%US$115.00US$66.00n/a24
Aug ’25US$94.14
US$104.72
+11.2%
15.2%US$133.00US$69.00n/a24
Jul ’25US$95.27
US$109.60
+15.0%
15.5%US$133.00US$69.00n/a24
Jun ’25US$116.86
US$110.39
-5.5%
15.4%US$133.00US$69.00n/a24
May ’25US$109.29
US$113.25
+3.6%
15.2%US$140.00US$73.00n/a25
Apr ’25US$126.69
US$112.56
-11.2%
16.0%US$140.00US$73.00n/a24
Mar ’25US$121.37
US$109.84
-9.5%
15.6%US$135.00US$73.00n/a23
Feb ’25US$104.48
US$94.78
-9.3%
19.2%US$130.00US$66.00n/a23
Jan ’25US$111.56
US$87.70
-21.4%
18.7%US$115.00US$66.00n/a23
Dec ’24US$97.60
US$82.91
-15.0%
13.3%US$102.00US$66.00US$112.2123
Nov ’24US$82.91
US$98.07
+18.3%
14.2%US$121.00US$73.00US$103.7623
Oct ’24US$90.50
US$108.28
+19.6%
11.2%US$129.00US$82.00US$121.2823
Sep ’24US$100.00
US$107.41
+7.4%
11.4%US$129.00US$82.00US$112.4422
Aug ’24US$114.27
US$102.65
-10.2%
13.2%US$125.00US$82.00US$94.1423
Jul ’24US$103.96
US$99.04
-4.7%
12.6%US$120.00US$80.00US$95.2723
Jun ’24US$92.47
US$97.64
+5.6%
12.7%US$120.00US$79.00US$116.8622
May ’24US$99.66
US$97.57
-2.1%
12.9%US$120.00US$73.00US$109.2921
Apr ’24US$98.22
US$97.29
-1.0%
12.7%US$120.00US$73.00US$126.6921
Mar ’24US$88.47
US$96.64
+9.2%
12.8%US$120.00US$73.00US$121.3722
Feb ’24US$95.37
US$88.24
-7.5%
15.9%US$112.00US$65.00US$104.4821
Jan ’24US$69.63
US$86.38
+24.1%
16.0%US$112.00US$65.00US$111.5621
Dec ’23US$77.84
US$84.84
+9.0%
14.8%US$110.00US$65.00US$97.6019

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/29 16:41
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/27 00:00
Earnings2024/09/26
Annual Earnings2023/12/28

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. is covered by 39 analysts. 24 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Peter BenedictBaird
Justin KleberBaird
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research