Carvana Co.

NYSE:CVNA Stock Report

Market Cap: US$47.4b

Carvana Future Growth

Future criteria checks 5/6

Carvana is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 47.5% and 15.4% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 59.4% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 51.4% in 3 years.

Key information

47.5%

Earnings growth rate

59.4%

EPS growth rate

Specialty Retail earnings growth9.2%
Revenue growth rate15.4%
Future return on equity51.4%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated09 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Carvana (NYSE:CVNA) Is Experiencing Growth In Returns On Capital

Dec 08
Carvana (NYSE:CVNA) Is Experiencing Growth In Returns On Capital

Carvana: A Major Reason You Should Avoid This Overpriced Stock

Dec 04

The Art Of Being A Contrarian With Courage & Conviction Investing

Nov 21

Carvana's Rally: A Test Drive Worth Skipping

Nov 11

Carvana Is Insanely Overvalued

Oct 09

Carvana's Growth Story May Be Muted By Macroeconomic Forces

Sep 25

Carvana: I Was Wrong In 2022, But My Buyside Analyst Friend Got It Right (Rating Upgrade)

Sep 04

Carvana: Time To Sell The Earnings Rally (Rating Downgrade)

Aug 01

Carvana: A Promising Investment In The Used Car Market

Jul 25

Carvana: Navigating Long-Term Sustainability After PIK Deferral Ends

Jun 24

Carvana: Terrific Execution, But Trading At Risky Levels

Jun 17

Carvana Isn't A Buy Now, But It Belongs On Your Watchlist

May 21

Carvana: The Value And Momentum Trade Is Essentially Over

May 15

Carvana: The Squeeze Is Over (Rating Downgrade)

May 02

Carvana: Still Driving On The Edge With A Heavy Debt Load

Apr 23

Carvana: Hold On, Wait A Minute (Rating Upgrade)

Apr 17

Carvana, Vroom, BuzzFeed, Encore Wire - Getting Paid To Take Risks With Courage & Conviction Investing

Apr 04

Carvana Still Has A Tough Road Ahead

Mar 19

Carvana Earnings: My Unshakable Bullish Perspective, Now Less Controversial

Feb 23

Carvana Q4 Earnings Preview: Expect A Big Move In The Stock

Feb 15

Carvana: There Are Better Opportunities On The Market

Jan 29

Carvana: Time To Bail Before The Juice Runs Out (Downgrade)

Jan 12

Carvana: Mini 2021 All Over Again

Dec 06

Carvana: Optically Appealing Earnings, But It's Headed For Bankruptcy

Nov 07

Carvana: Sell On Rallies Amid Persistent Technical Weakness

Oct 31

Carvana Stock: Bulls And Bears Might Lose Big

Oct 13

Carvana: Improving Setup (Rating Upgrade)

Sep 30

Carvana: Price Too High And Short Interest Is Justified

Sep 14

Carvana: It Is Not That Simple

Aug 26

Carvana: Debt Restructuring A Cause For Misplaced Turnaround Hopes

Jul 26

Carvana Debt Swap: That Wasn't Good News

Jul 19

Unveiling Carvana's Surge (Rating Downgrade)

Jul 13

Carvana: Despite Short Squeeze Roller Coaster, The Ride Ends At $0

Jun 30

Carvana: Don't Be Fooled By The Recent Profit Forecast

Jun 20

Carvana: Doubt To Dough, How Changing Your Mind Makes You Money

Jun 08

3 Stocks On The Chopping Block: Carvana, Hanes, And Warby Parker

Feb 24

Saga Partners - Carvana: The Key Debate

Feb 17

Carvana Bondholders Are Bailing

Jan 31

Carvana: Why Millennials Should Make A Small Investment Now

Jan 13

Carvana: Too Risky To Invest

Dec 22

Carvana: A Great Contrarian Investing Opportunity

Dec 06

Carvana Stock: There Are Gains To Be Made

Nov 11

Carvana: Single Digits Now Possible

Nov 04

Carvana Crashes Into Zombie Territory Just In Time For Halloween

Oct 21

Carvana: Analysts Got This Wrong

Sep 23

Carvana: Our Response To Piper Sandler's Upgrade

Sep 14

Carvana's ADESA introduces EV condition report feature

Sep 07

Saga Partners - Carvana: Dominant Online Used Car Retailer Far Into The Future

Aug 30

Carvana launches co-signer financing option across Florida

Aug 22

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:CVNA - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202618,4468671,11988117
12/31/202515,72552585276523
12/31/202413,4182971,1781,17221
9/30/202412,55017534619N/A
6/30/202411,668714738815N/A
3/31/202411,226638897970N/A
12/31/202310,771450716803N/A
9/30/202311,184-242173303N/A
6/30/202311,797-1,307-595-394N/A
3/31/202312,713-1,487-1,121-797N/A
12/31/202213,604-1,587-1,836-1,324N/A
9/30/202214,520-870-2,375-1,757N/A
6/30/202214,614-619-2,666-1,942N/A
3/31/202214,066-359-3,350-2,655N/A
12/31/202112,814-135-3,151-2,594N/A
9/30/202110,888-109-2,063-1,583N/A
6/30/20218,952-84-1,955-1,572N/A
3/31/20216,734-147-1,324-972N/A
12/31/20205,587-171-968-608N/A
9/30/20204,864-149-1,119-769N/A
6/30/20204,414-172-951-637N/A
3/31/20204,283-152-988-711N/A
12/31/20193,940-115-988-757N/A
9/30/20193,421-96-773-585N/A
6/30/20192,861-83-688-530N/A
3/31/20192,350-74-656-497N/A
12/31/20181,955-61-558-414N/A
9/30/20181,636-90-474-348N/A
6/30/20181,326-77N/A-318N/A
3/31/20181,060-70N/A-278N/A
12/31/2017859-64N/A-200N/A
9/30/2017701-100N/A-211N/A
6/30/2017574-98N/A-201N/A
3/31/2017451-95N/A-235N/A
12/31/2016365-93N/A-240N/A
9/30/2016301-23N/A-175N/A
12/31/2015130-37N/A-54N/A
12/31/201442-15N/A-30N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: CVNA's forecast earnings growth (47.5% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: CVNA's earnings (47.5% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (15.2% per year).

High Growth Earnings: CVNA's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: CVNA's revenue (15.4% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (9.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: CVNA's revenue (15.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: CVNA's Return on Equity is forecast to be very high in 3 years time (51.4%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 02:12
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Carvana Co. is covered by 45 analysts. 23 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Craig KennisonBaird
Colin SebastianBaird
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research