With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 7.5x Caleres, Inc. (NYSE:CAL) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios greater than 19x and even P/E's higher than 34x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.
With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, Caleres has been doing quite well of late. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company's earnings are going to fall away like everyone else's soon. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
View our latest analysis for Caleres
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Caleres.Is There Any Growth For Caleres?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like Caleres' to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 3.0% gain to the company's bottom line. However, due to its less than impressive performance prior to this period, EPS growth is practically non-existent over the last three years overall. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 10% per year as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be similar to the 10% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's peculiar that Caleres' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.
What We Can Learn From Caleres' P/E?
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Caleres currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is in line with the wider market. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the outlook. It appears some are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide more support to the share price.
The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Caleres with six simple checks.
If you're unsure about the strength of Caleres' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NYSE:CAL
Caleres
Engages in the retail and wholesale of footwear business in the United States, Canada, East Asia, and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet and undervalued.