Alibaba Group Holding Future Growth
Future criteria checks 2/6
Alibaba Group Holding is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 18% and 6.8% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 19.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 10.1% in 3 years.
Key information
18.0%
Earnings growth rate
19.2%
EPS growth rate
| Multiline Retail earnings growth | 19.1% |
| Revenue growth rate | 6.8% |
| Future return on equity | 10.1% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 05 Sep 2024 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Alibaba: Riding The Wave Of A Strengthening Macroeconomic Environment
Sep 05Potential Upside For Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA) Not Without Risk
Sep 02
Alibaba: Time To Move On
Aug 30Alibaba: Restructuring And Investment Efforts Appear Promising, Bullish Support Is Growing
Aug 24Is Alibaba Group Holding (NYSE:BABA) A Risky Investment?
Aug 17Alibaba: High Safety Margin
Aug 17Alibaba: Buybacks To Fuel Growth In FY Q1 Earnings
Aug 10Alibaba: I Keep Disagreeing With The Crowd
Jul 22Alibaba: Sell The Dead Cat Bounce
Jul 16Alibaba Group Holding Limited's (NYSE:BABA) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 70% Above Its Share Price
Jul 16Alibaba Stock: Stay Greedy, The Catalyst Is Coming
Jul 05The 5 Challenges Alibaba Faces (Rating Downgrade)
Jun 28Alibaba: China Remains Uninvestable
Jun 20Alibaba Group Holding's (NYSE:BABA) Returns On Capital Are Heading Higher
Jun 13Alibaba: At An Important Inflection Point
Jun 11Alibaba: Central Bank Gives Green Light To Investors
Jun 04Alibaba: A Stock Buyback King In The Making
May 28We Think Alibaba Group Holding's (NYSE:BABA) Robust Earnings Are Conservative
May 21Alibaba: Deep Undervaluation Meets Changing Sentiment
May 20Alibaba: Own It, Don't Play Earnings
May 14We Think Alibaba Group Holding (NYSE:BABA) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease
May 13Alibaba Stock May Reverse Massively
May 03Alibaba: Cheap But Risky, My Strategy For Reducing Downside Risk
Apr 18Alibaba: I Was Fooled By The Valuation (Downgrade)
Apr 12Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA) Could Be Riskier Than It Looks
Apr 10Alibaba Stock: Why It's Not Dead Money
Apr 04Alibaba: Something's Got To Give And It's Been The Share Price
Mar 29Is There An Opportunity With Alibaba Group Holding Limited's (NYSE:BABA) 49% Undervaluation?
Mar 25Alibaba: The Cheapest Chinese Megacap Keeps Getting Cheaper
Mar 21Alibaba, China Risks, And Why We Downgraded The Stock
Mar 13Alibaba: Several Positive Developments
Mar 07Alibaba: All Eyes On A Single Segment
Feb 27Alibaba: When Will The Sentiment Turn Around?
Feb 21Alibaba International Records Solid Growth Led By AliExpress
Feb 12Alibaba: Jack Ma And Joe Tsai Are Buying - Should You?
Feb 06Here's What To Make Of Alibaba Group Holding's (NYSE:BABA) Decelerating Rates Of Return
Feb 02Alibaba: Cannot Be Undervalued Forever
Jan 30Alibaba: A Wonderful Opportunity For Investors With Risk Tolerance
Jan 24Alibaba Group Holding (NYSE:BABA) Has A Rock Solid Balance Sheet
Jan 18Alibaba: It's Time To Be Greedy
Jan 18Alibaba: I've Been Wrong, But The Investment Could Still Work Out
Jan 05Alibaba: Revisiting The Investment Thesis. Still A Strong Buy.
Dec 30Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Alibaba Group Holding Limited's (NYSE:BABA) Shares
Dec 19Alibaba: Cheap And A Big Margin Of Safety
Dec 19Alibaba: Gets Even Cheaper
Dec 12Alibaba: Restructuring And Capital Management To Bring Near-Term Upside
Dec 05Alibaba: The Pain Could Just Be Starting For Chinese Tech
Nov 28Alibaba: Time To Bail Out
Nov 19Alibaba: 2 Catalysts Have Emerged To Drive The Stock Higher
Nov 13Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/31/2027 | 1,169,913 | 143,352 | 188,168 | 212,782 | 34 |
| 3/31/2026 | 1,089,576 | 126,356 | 178,805 | 208,611 | 51 |
| 3/31/2025 | 1,008,393 | 107,824 | 154,047 | 169,605 | 51 |
| 6/30/2024 | 950,248 | 69,678 | 125,900 | 170,923 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 941,168 | 79,741 | 149,664 | 182,593 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 927,494 | 99,987 | 156,302 | 190,654 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 914,902 | 132,369 | 178,956 | 213,308 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 897,288 | 84,102 | 176,837 | 211,189 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 868,687 | 72,509 | 165,400 | 199,752 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 864,539 | 32,752 | 107,987 | 161,311 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 859,363 | 13,629 | 100,983 | 154,307 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 852,877 | 39,557 | 89,701 | 143,025 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 853,062 | 61,959 | 89,435 | 142,759 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 836,405 | 72,721 | 131,166 | 173,982 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 814,909 | 124,456 | 154,008 | 196,824 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 769,278 | 147,858 | 172,474 | 215,290 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 717,289 | 150,308 | 188,970 | 231,786 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 644,208 | 158,949 | 177,029 | 209,767 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 584,580 | 131,831 | 170,326 | 203,064 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 548,538 | 175,602 | 163,356 | 196,094 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 509,711 | 149,263 | 147,869 | 180,607 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 488,895 | 171,931 | 147,353 | 196,996 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 444,717 | 152,674 | 143,087 | 165,389 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 410,848 | 100,167 | 111,032 | 149,470 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 376,844 | 87,600 | 101,332 | 150,975 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 345,278 | 69,331 | 116,969 | 146,805 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 311,028 | 60,352 | 88,445 | 136,949 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 281,002 | 57,987 | 95,008 | 136,049 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 250,266 | 63,985 | N/A | 125,805 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 226,913 | 67,071 | N/A | 122,168 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 197,133 | 60,853 | N/A | 104,542 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 176,303 | 50,808 | N/A | 91,241 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 158,273 | 43,675 | N/A | 82,854 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 143,878 | 38,393 | N/A | 74,662 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 125,173 | 33,036 | N/A | 63,476 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 113,052 | 48,167 | N/A | 61,394 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 101,143 | 71,460 | N/A | 56,836 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 94,384 | 68,988 | N/A | 57,521 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 86,020 | 62,426 | N/A | 50,699 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 80,678 | 42,648 | N/A | 41,440 | N/A |
| 3/31/2015 | 76,204 | 24,149 | N/A | 41,217 | N/A |
| 12/31/2014 | 70,810 | 26,799 | N/A | 37,250 | N/A |
| 9/30/2014 | 63,376 | 29,069 | N/A | 32,764 | N/A |
| 6/30/2014 | 57,497 | 31,036 | N/A | 31,425 | N/A |
| 3/31/2014 | 52,504 | 23,076 | N/A | 26,379 | N/A |
| 12/31/2013 | 49,147 | 21,730 | N/A | 26,659 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: BABA's forecast earnings growth (18% per year) is above the savings rate (2.5%).
Earnings vs Market: BABA's earnings (18% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (14.9% per year).
High Growth Earnings: BABA's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: BABA's revenue (6.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (8.6% per year).
High Growth Revenue: BABA's revenue (6.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: BABA's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (10.1%).