Advance Auto Parts Future Growth
Future criteria checks 3/6
Advance Auto Parts is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 30.8% and 1.5% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 31.5% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 8.2% in 3 years.
Key information
30.8%
Earnings growth rate
31.5%
EPS growth rate
| Specialty Retail earnings growth | 11.4% |
| Revenue growth rate | 1.5% |
| Future return on equity | 8.2% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 18 Apr 2024 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Advance Auto Parts: Can The New Management Deliver?
Apr 13Advance Auto Parts' Q4 Earnings: A First Step To Get Back On Track
Feb 29Advanced Auto Parts: Broken Down But Repairs Being Made
Dec 17Advance Auto Parts: The New Normal
Nov 27At US$55.94, Is Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (NYSE:AAP) Worth Looking At Closely?
Nov 14
Advance Auto Parts (NYSE:AAP) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky
Nov 01Advance Auto Parts: Cheap For A Reason And An Uncertain Future
Oct 31Advance Auto Parts: Another Retailer Stuck Between 'A Rock And A Hard Place'
Oct 17Credit Downgrade Could Worsen Advance Auto Parts' Cash Flow Problem
Sep 14Be Wary Of Advance Auto Parts (NYSE:AAP) And Its Returns On Capital
Sep 04Advance Auto Parts: Attractive Valuation After Losing Half Its Value In 2023
Aug 09Advance Auto Parts: Its Mediocrity Is Unsustainable
Jul 20Advance Auto Parts: A Quick Recovery Won't Be Easy
Jul 13Advance Auto Parts: Better Safe Than Sorry
Jul 05There Are Reasons To Feel Uneasy About Advance Auto Parts' (NYSE:AAP) Returns On Capital
Jun 01Advance Auto Parts Q1 Earnings: Too Many Headwinds, Avoid
May 31Advance Auto Parts: Shares Have Fallen Too Far
May 23These 4 Measures Indicate That Advance Auto Parts (NYSE:AAP) Is Using Debt Extensively
May 17Why Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (NYSE:AAP) Could Be Worth Watching
Mar 31Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (NYSE:AAP) Shares Could Be 31% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate
Mar 16Advance Auto Parts (NYSE:AAP) Has More To Do To Multiply In Value Going Forward
Feb 18Is Advance Auto Parts (NYSE:AAP) A Risky Investment?
Feb 02When Should You Buy Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (NYSE:AAP)?
Dec 19Advance Auto Parts goes ex-dividend tomorrow
Dec 14Is Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (NYSE:AAP) Trading At A 41% Discount?
Dec 04Advance Auto Parts' (NYSE:AAP) Returns Have Hit A Wall
Nov 17Advance Auto Parts Q3 2022 Earnings Preview
Nov 14We Think Advance Auto Parts (NYSE:AAP) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt
Nov 01Advance Auto Parts Can Drive Higher Even In A Recession
Oct 15Advance Auto Parts goes ex-dividend tomorrow
Sep 15Is There Now An Opportunity In Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (NYSE:AAP)?
Sep 13Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (NYSE:AAP) Shares Could Be 49% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate
Aug 29Advance Auto Parts Q2 2022 Earnings Preview
Aug 22Here's Why Advance Auto Parts (NYSE:AAP) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden
Aug 02Advance Auto Parts' (NYSE:AAP) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business
Jul 19Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2026 | 11,767 | 281 | 337 | 762 | 12 |
| 12/31/2025 | 11,562 | 250 | 252 | 570 | 26 |
| 12/31/2024 | 11,365 | 225 | 206 | 524 | 26 |
| 12/30/2023 | 11,288 | 30 | 45 | 287 | N/A |
| 10/7/2023 | 11,296 | 205 | -10 | 270 | N/A |
| 7/15/2023 | 11,219 | 370 | -111 | 249 | N/A |
| 4/22/2023 | 11,198 | 405 | -3 | 398 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 11,155 | 464 | 311 | 737 | N/A |
| 10/8/2022 | 11,078 | 468 | 238 | 670 | N/A |
| 7/16/2022 | 11,058 | 522 | 273 | 645 | N/A |
| 4/23/2022 | 11,042 | 570 | 394 | 727 | N/A |
| 1/1/2022 | 10,998 | 597 | 817 | 1,107 | N/A |
| 10/9/2021 | 10,966 | 646 | 819 | 1,085 | N/A |
| 7/17/2021 | 10,887 | 624 | 1,041 | 1,298 | N/A |
| 4/24/2021 | 10,739 | 635 | 1,033 | 1,289 | N/A |
| 1/2/2021 | 10,106 | 493 | 702 | 970 | N/A |
| 10/3/2020 | 9,854 | 477 | 472 | 968 | N/A |
| 7/11/2020 | 9,624 | 453 | 322 | 823 | N/A |
| 4/18/2020 | 9,455 | 388 | 180 | 673 | N/A |
| 12/28/2019 | 9,709 | 487 | 395 | 867 | N/A |
| 10/5/2019 | 9,701 | 444 | 580 | 838 | N/A |
| 7/13/2019 | 9,664 | 437 | 616 | 859 | N/A |
| 4/20/2019 | 9,659 | 430 | 641 | 862 | N/A |
| 12/29/2018 | 9,581 | 424 | 617 | 811 | N/A |
| 10/6/2018 | 9,512 | 555 | 747 | 881 | N/A |
| 7/14/2018 | 9,420 | 535 | 648 | 777 | N/A |
| 4/21/2018 | 9,357 | 504 | 561 | 720 | N/A |
| 12/30/2017 | 9,374 | 476 | 411 | 601 | N/A |
| 10/7/2017 | 9,420 | 353 | N/A | 497 | N/A |
| 7/15/2017 | 9,486 | 371 | N/A | 582 | N/A |
| 4/22/2017 | 9,479 | 409 | N/A | 470 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 9,568 | 460 | N/A | 523 | N/A |
| 10/8/2016 | 9,518 | 452 | N/A | 597 | N/A |
| 7/16/2016 | 9,565 | 458 | N/A | 567 | N/A |
| 4/23/2016 | 9,679 | 483 | N/A | 676 | N/A |
| 1/2/2016 | 9,737 | 473 | N/A | 703 | N/A |
| 10/10/2015 | 9,941 | 501 | N/A | 689 | N/A |
| 7/18/2015 | 9,935 | 503 | N/A | 719 | N/A |
| 4/25/2015 | 9,913 | 493 | N/A | 730 | N/A |
| 1/3/2015 | 9,844 | 492 | N/A | 709 | N/A |
| 10/4/2014 | 9,015 | 457 | N/A | 687 | N/A |
| 7/12/2014 | 8,246 | 439 | N/A | 556 | N/A |
| 4/19/2014 | 7,448 | 417 | N/A | 491 | N/A |
| 12/28/2013 | 6,494 | 391 | N/A | 545 | N/A |
| 10/5/2013 | 6,414 | 407 | N/A | 579 | N/A |
| 7/13/2013 | 6,352 | 392 | N/A | 584 | N/A |
| 4/20/2013 | 6,263 | 375 | N/A | 585 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: AAP's forecast earnings growth (30.8% per year) is above the savings rate (2.3%).
Earnings vs Market: AAP's earnings (30.8% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (14.6% per year).
High Growth Earnings: AAP's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: AAP's revenue (1.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (8.1% per year).
High Growth Revenue: AAP's revenue (1.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: AAP's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (8.2%).