Advance Auto Parts Future Growth
Future criteria checks 3/6
Advance Auto Parts's revenue is forecast to decline at 6.5% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 49.8% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 48.6% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 9.3% in 3 years.
Key information
49.8%
Earnings growth rate
48.6%
EPS growth rate
| Specialty Retail earnings growth | 8.4% |
| Revenue growth rate | -6.5% |
| Future return on equity | 9.3% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 21 Nov 2024 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Advance Auto Parts: Undervalued Turnaround Stock With Major Margin Expansion Ahead
Nov 17Here's Why Advance Auto Parts (NYSE:AAP) Is Weighed Down By Its Debt Load
Nov 06
Advance Auto Parts: Recovery Appears Elusive
Oct 05Advance Auto Parts: A Decent Sale Cannot Outweigh Competitive Concerns
Sep 23Advance Auto Parts (NYSE:AAP) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.25
Sep 23Returns On Capital At Advance Auto Parts (NYSE:AAP) Paint A Concerning Picture
Sep 20Advance Auto Parts: Valuation To Trade At A Discount To Peers
Sep 04Advance Auto Parts, Inc.'s (NYSE:AAP) 27% Share Price Plunge Could Signal Some Risk
Aug 30Advance Auto Parts (NYSE:AAP) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.25
Aug 25Advance Auto Parts: Q2 Earnings Disappoint, Turnaround Isn't Gaining Traction
Aug 22A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (NYSE:AAP)
Aug 11Advance Auto Parts: Value Over Everything
Aug 02Advance Auto Parts, Inc.'s (NYSE:AAP) Share Price Could Signal Some Risk
Jul 15Here's Why Advance Auto Parts (NYSE:AAP) Is Weighed Down By Its Debt Load
Jul 01Advance Auto Parts (NYSE:AAP) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.25
Jun 18Is It Time To Consider Buying Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (NYSE:AAP)?
Jun 15Advance Auto Parts (NYSE:AAP) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.25
Jun 01Advance Auto Parts: A Messy Q1 Adds To Credibility Challenges
May 31Third Point - Advance Auto Parts: Worldpac Sale A Near-Term Catalyst To Unlock Significant Value
May 02Advance Auto Parts: Can The New Management Deliver?
Apr 13Advance Auto Parts' Q4 Earnings: A First Step To Get Back On Track
Feb 29Advanced Auto Parts: Broken Down But Repairs Being Made
Dec 17Advance Auto Parts: The New Normal
Nov 27At US$55.94, Is Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (NYSE:AAP) Worth Looking At Closely?
Nov 14Advance Auto Parts (NYSE:AAP) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky
Nov 01Advance Auto Parts: Cheap For A Reason And An Uncertain Future
Oct 31Advance Auto Parts: Another Retailer Stuck Between 'A Rock And A Hard Place'
Oct 17Credit Downgrade Could Worsen Advance Auto Parts' Cash Flow Problem
Sep 14Be Wary Of Advance Auto Parts (NYSE:AAP) And Its Returns On Capital
Sep 04Advance Auto Parts: Attractive Valuation After Losing Half Its Value In 2023
Aug 09Advance Auto Parts: Its Mediocrity Is Unsustainable
Jul 20Advance Auto Parts: A Quick Recovery Won't Be Easy
Jul 13Advance Auto Parts: Better Safe Than Sorry
Jul 05There Are Reasons To Feel Uneasy About Advance Auto Parts' (NYSE:AAP) Returns On Capital
Jun 01Advance Auto Parts Q1 Earnings: Too Many Headwinds, Avoid
May 31Advance Auto Parts: Shares Have Fallen Too Far
May 23Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2026 | 8,604 | 188 | 159 | 455 | 17 |
| 12/31/2025 | 8,491 | 93 | 5 | 462 | 20 |
| 12/31/2024 | 9,025 | -27 | 66 | 657 | 18 |
| 10/5/2024 | 11,191 | 47 | 219 | 416 | N/A |
| 7/13/2024 | 11,261 | -2 | 352 | 542 | N/A |
| 4/20/2024 | 11,276 | 21 | 471 | 673 | N/A |
| 12/30/2023 | 11,288 | 30 | 45 | 287 | N/A |
| 10/7/2023 | 9,668 | 83 | 16 | 282 | N/A |
| 7/15/2023 | 10,092 | 273 | -99 | 261 | N/A |
| 4/22/2023 | 11,198 | 373 | 8 | 409 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 11,155 | 464 | 311 | 737 | N/A |
| 10/8/2022 | 11,078 | 468 | 238 | 670 | N/A |
| 7/16/2022 | 11,058 | 522 | 273 | 645 | N/A |
| 4/23/2022 | 11,042 | 570 | 394 | 727 | N/A |
| 1/1/2022 | 10,998 | 597 | 817 | 1,107 | N/A |
| 10/9/2021 | 10,966 | 646 | 819 | 1,085 | N/A |
| 7/17/2021 | 10,887 | 624 | 1,041 | 1,298 | N/A |
| 4/24/2021 | 10,739 | 635 | 1,033 | 1,289 | N/A |
| 1/2/2021 | 10,106 | 493 | 702 | 970 | N/A |
| 10/3/2020 | 9,854 | 477 | 472 | 968 | N/A |
| 7/11/2020 | 9,624 | 453 | 322 | 823 | N/A |
| 4/18/2020 | 9,455 | 388 | 180 | 673 | N/A |
| 12/28/2019 | 9,709 | 487 | 395 | 867 | N/A |
| 10/5/2019 | 9,701 | 444 | 580 | 838 | N/A |
| 7/13/2019 | 9,664 | 437 | 616 | 859 | N/A |
| 4/20/2019 | 9,659 | 430 | 641 | 862 | N/A |
| 12/29/2018 | 9,581 | 424 | 617 | 811 | N/A |
| 10/6/2018 | 9,512 | 555 | 747 | 881 | N/A |
| 7/14/2018 | 9,420 | 535 | N/A | 777 | N/A |
| 4/21/2018 | 9,357 | 504 | N/A | 720 | N/A |
| 12/30/2017 | 9,374 | 476 | N/A | 601 | N/A |
| 10/7/2017 | 9,420 | 353 | N/A | 497 | N/A |
| 7/15/2017 | 9,486 | 371 | N/A | 582 | N/A |
| 4/22/2017 | 9,479 | 409 | N/A | 470 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 9,568 | 460 | N/A | 523 | N/A |
| 10/8/2016 | 9,518 | 452 | N/A | 597 | N/A |
| 7/16/2016 | 9,565 | 458 | N/A | 567 | N/A |
| 4/23/2016 | 9,679 | 483 | N/A | 676 | N/A |
| 1/2/2016 | 9,737 | 473 | N/A | 703 | N/A |
| 10/10/2015 | 9,941 | 501 | N/A | 689 | N/A |
| 7/18/2015 | 9,935 | 503 | N/A | 719 | N/A |
| 4/25/2015 | 9,913 | 493 | N/A | 730 | N/A |
| 1/3/2015 | 9,844 | 492 | N/A | 709 | N/A |
| 10/4/2014 | 9,015 | 457 | N/A | 687 | N/A |
| 7/12/2014 | 8,246 | 439 | N/A | 556 | N/A |
| 4/19/2014 | 7,448 | 417 | N/A | 491 | N/A |
| 12/28/2013 | 6,494 | 391 | N/A | 545 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: AAP's forecast earnings growth (49.8% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).
Earnings vs Market: AAP's earnings (49.8% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (15.2% per year).
High Growth Earnings: AAP's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: AAP's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-6.5% per year).
High Growth Revenue: AAP's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-6.5% per year).
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: AAP's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (9.3%).