Stock Analysis

One Waitr Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:WTRH) Analyst Just Cut Their EPS Forecasts

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One thing we could say about the covering analyst on Waitr Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:WTRH) - they aren't optimistic, having just made a major negative revision to their near-term (statutory) forecasts for the organization. Both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) forecasts went under the knife, suggesting the analyst has soured majorly on the business.

Following the latest downgrade, the current consensus, from the lone analyst covering Waitr Holdings, is for revenues of US$141m in 2022, which would reflect a disturbing 23% reduction in Waitr Holdings' sales over the past 12 months. Losses are supposed to balloon 362% to US$0.16 per share. Yet before this consensus update, the analyst had been forecasting revenues of US$191m and losses of US$0.09 per share in 2022. So there's been quite a change-up of views after the recent consensus updates, with the analyst making a serious cut to their revenue forecasts while also expecting losses per share to increase.

Check out our latest analysis for Waitr Holdings

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NasdaqGS:WTRH Earnings and Revenue Growth March 16th 2022

The consensus price target fell 43% to US$2.00, with the analyst clearly concerned about the company following the weaker revenue and earnings outlook.

Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. We would highlight that sales are expected to reverse, with a forecast 23% annualised revenue decline to the end of 2022. That is a notable change from historical growth of 36% over the last five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the same industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 14% annually for the foreseeable future. So although its revenues are forecast to shrink, this cloud does not come with a silver lining - Waitr Holdings is expected to lag the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to note from this downgrade is that the consensus increased its forecast losses this year, suggesting all may not be well at Waitr Holdings. Unfortunately the analyst also downgraded their revenue estimates, and industry data suggests that Waitr Holdings' revenues are expected to grow slower than the wider market. Given the scope of the downgrades, it would not be a surprise to see the market become more wary of the business.

So things certainly aren't looking great, and you should also know that we've spotted some potential warning signs with Waitr Holdings, including dilutive stock issuance over the past year. For more information, you can click here to discover this and the 4 other concerns we've identified.

Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are downgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Waitr Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.