Stock Analysis

Tractor Supply (NASDAQ:TSCO) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

NasdaqGS:TSCO
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Tractor Supply Company (NASDAQ:TSCO) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Tractor Supply

What Is Tractor Supply's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of December 2022, Tractor Supply had US$1.16b of debt, up from US$986.4m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has US$202.5m in cash leading to net debt of about US$961.6m.

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NasdaqGS:TSCO Debt to Equity History March 6th 2023

A Look At Tractor Supply's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Tractor Supply had liabilities of US$2.38b due within a year, and liabilities of US$4.07b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$202.5m as well as receivables valued at US$8.43m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$6.24b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Tractor Supply has a huge market capitalization of US$25.3b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Tractor Supply has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.54. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 46.8 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Fortunately, Tractor Supply grew its EBIT by 9.4% in the last year, making that debt load look even more manageable. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Tractor Supply's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Tractor Supply produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 57% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

Happily, Tractor Supply's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its net debt to EBITDA is also very heartening. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Tractor Supply is pretty sensible with its use of debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Tractor Supply is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.