Stock Analysis

Not Many Are Piling Into The RealReal, Inc. (NASDAQ:REAL) Stock Yet As It Plummets 31%

NasdaqGS:REAL
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To the annoyance of some shareholders, The RealReal, Inc. (NASDAQ:REAL) shares are down a considerable 31% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. Longer-term shareholders would now have taken a real hit with the stock declining 4.8% in the last year.

Even after such a large drop in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about RealReal's P/S ratio of 0.4x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Specialty Retail industry in the United States is also close to 0.3x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

See our latest analysis for RealReal

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:REAL Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 8th 2024

How RealReal Has Been Performing

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, RealReal's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S from falling. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on RealReal will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like RealReal's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 1.7% decrease to the company's top line. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 53% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the eight analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 11% per year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 5.6% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that RealReal's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Final Word

With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for RealReal looks to be in line with the rest of the Specialty Retail industry. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Despite enticing revenue growth figures that outpace the industry, RealReal's P/S isn't quite what we'd expect. Perhaps uncertainty in the revenue forecasts are what's keeping the P/S ratio consistent with the rest of the industry. However, if you agree with the analysts' forecasts, you may be able to pick up the stock at an attractive price.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 5 warning signs for RealReal (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.