Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Pool Corporation's (NASDAQ:POOL) P/E Ratio

Pool Corporation's (NASDAQ:POOL) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 29.3x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 18x and even P/E's below 10x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Recent times haven't been advantageous for Pool as its earnings have been falling quicker than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will turn things around completely and accelerate past most others in the market. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

View our latest analysis for Pool

Keen to find out how analysts think Pool's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Enough Growth For Pool?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Pool's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 22% decrease to the company's bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 10% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 4.0% each year as estimated by the eleven analysts watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 10% growth each year, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.

With this information, we find it concerning that Pool is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

Our examination of Pool's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for Pool that you need to be mindful of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Pool's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.