MercadoLibre, Inc.

NasdaqGS:MELI Stock Report

Market Cap: US$87.2b

MercadoLibre Valuation

Is MELI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MELI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MELI ($1720.36) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($927.79)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MELI is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MELI?

Key metric: As MELI is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MELI. This is calculated by dividing MELI's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MELI's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio60.7x
EarningsUS$1.44b
Market CapUS$87.22b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MELI's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MELI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19x
PDD PDD Holdings
9.3x13.9%US$138.2b
JD JD.com
10.8x8.4%US$51.7b
CPNG Coupang
40x30.8%US$41.3b
BABA Alibaba Group Holding
15.9x14.9%US$186.6b
MELI MercadoLibre
60.7x28.0%US$87.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MELI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (60.7x) compared to the peer average (19x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MELI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the North American Multiline Retail Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MELI 60.7xIndustry Avg. 22.1xNo. of Companies3PE01224364860+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MELI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (60.7x) compared to the Global Multiline Retail industry average (22.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MELI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MELI PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio60.7x
Fair PE Ratio30.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MELI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (60.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MELI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$1,720.36
US$2,289.64
+33.1%
10.4%US$2,800.00US$1,750.00n/a25
Dec ’25US$1,985.17
US$2,274.84
+14.6%
10.5%US$2,800.00US$1,750.00n/a25
Nov ’25US$2,054.90
US$2,310.02
+12.4%
12.0%US$2,800.00US$1,650.00n/a25
Oct ’25US$2,066.12
US$2,226.98
+7.8%
11.0%US$2,670.00US$1,650.00n/a24
Sep ’25US$2,061.66
US$2,141.39
+3.9%
9.6%US$2,480.00US$1,650.00n/a22
Aug ’25US$1,606.06
US$1,994.39
+24.2%
7.5%US$2,200.00US$1,500.00n/a22
Jul ’25US$1,597.60
US$1,974.39
+23.6%
7.6%US$2,270.00US$1,500.00n/a22
Jun ’25US$1,725.58
US$1,972.90
+14.3%
7.8%US$2,270.00US$1,500.00n/a23
May ’25US$1,456.51
US$1,918.80
+31.7%
10.1%US$2,160.00US$1,400.00n/a24
Apr ’25US$1,528.95
US$1,957.55
+28.0%
8.6%US$2,150.00US$1,400.00n/a24
Mar ’25US$1,612.75
US$1,955.38
+21.2%
9.5%US$2,200.00US$1,400.00n/a24
Feb ’25US$1,748.28
US$1,852.65
+6.0%
10.6%US$2,200.00US$1,330.00n/a23
Jan ’25US$1,571.54
US$1,754.91
+11.7%
11.7%US$2,120.00US$1,330.00n/a23
Dec ’24US$1,652.01
US$1,714.91
+3.8%
12.1%US$2,120.00US$1,330.00US$1,985.1724
Nov ’24US$1,300.01
US$1,614.53
+24.2%
13.7%US$2,150.00US$1,260.00US$2,054.9024
Oct ’24US$1,267.88
US$1,614.47
+27.3%
13.1%US$2,180.00US$1,260.00US$2,066.1223
Sep ’24US$1,421.64
US$1,616.16
+13.7%
13.0%US$2,180.00US$1,260.00US$2,061.6624
Aug ’24US$1,210.40
US$1,535.31
+26.8%
11.1%US$1,910.00US$1,250.00US$1,606.0622
Jul ’24US$1,184.60
US$1,565.56
+32.2%
9.4%US$1,810.00US$1,250.00US$1,597.6021
Jun ’24US$1,258.02
US$1,561.85
+24.2%
9.9%US$1,810.00US$1,250.00US$1,725.5821
May ’24US$1,291.65
US$1,464.73
+13.4%
14.7%US$1,770.00US$800.00US$1,456.5122
Apr ’24US$1,318.06
US$1,409.32
+6.9%
14.4%US$1,770.00US$800.00US$1,528.9522
Mar ’24US$1,208.72
US$1,381.59
+14.3%
14.8%US$1,750.00US$800.00US$1,612.7522
Feb ’24US$1,214.29
US$1,265.68
+4.2%
13.7%US$1,550.00US$800.00US$1,748.2822
Jan ’24US$846.24
US$1,264.09
+49.4%
12.7%US$1,550.00US$800.00US$1,571.5422
Dec ’23US$941.01
US$1,290.00
+37.1%
14.7%US$1,650.00US$800.00US$1,652.0122

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 02:06
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

MercadoLibre, Inc. is covered by 51 analysts. 23 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research
Ross SandlerBarclays
Trevor YoungBarclays