Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings, Inc.

NasdaqGM:LVLU Stock Report

Market Cap: US$50.6m

Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Valuation

Is LVLU undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LVLU when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LVLU ($1.24) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($1.87)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LVLU is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LVLU?

Key metric: As LVLU is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for LVLU. This is calculated by dividing LVLU's market cap by their current revenue.
What is LVLU's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.2x
SalesUS$324.70m
Market CapUS$50.64m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does LVLU's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for LVLU vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.2x
TLF Tandy Leather Factory
0.5xn/aUS$35.4m
BGI Birks Group
0.2xn/aUS$31.0m
TLYS Tilly's
0.2x2.0%US$114.0m
CATO Cato
0.1xn/aUS$95.8m
LVLU Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings
0.2x1.6%US$50.6m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: LVLU is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the peer average (0.2x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does LVLU's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Specialty Retail Industry?

42 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TA TravelCenters of America
0.1x-0.8%US$1.30b
ODP ODP
0.1x-2.1%US$802.05m
ARKO Arko
0.09x-1.7%US$790.72m
AAN Aaron's Company
0.1x2.4%US$306.82m
LVLU 0.2xIndustry Avg. 0.4xNo. of Companies42PS00.61.21.82.43+
42 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: LVLU is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the US Specialty Retail industry average (0.4x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LVLU's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LVLU PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.2x
Fair PS Ratio0.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: LVLU is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LVLU forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$1.24
US$1.49
+20.2%
27.4%US$2.00US$1.00n/a3
Nov ’25US$1.42
US$1.49
+4.9%
27.4%US$2.00US$1.00n/a3
Oct ’25US$1.61
US$1.49
-7.5%
27.4%US$2.00US$1.00n/a3
Sep ’25US$1.42
US$1.49
+4.9%
27.4%US$2.00US$1.00n/a3
Aug ’25US$1.59
US$2.00
+25.8%
36.8%US$3.00US$1.25n/a3
Jul ’25US$1.89
US$2.00
+5.8%
36.8%US$3.00US$1.25n/a3
Jun ’25US$1.78
US$2.00
+12.4%
36.8%US$3.00US$1.25n/a3
May ’25US$1.54
US$2.00
+29.9%
36.8%US$3.00US$1.25n/a3
Apr ’25US$1.49
US$2.17
+45.4%
27.2%US$3.00US$1.75n/a3
Mar ’25US$1.96
US$2.32
+18.2%
20.9%US$3.00US$1.95n/a3
Feb ’25US$2.09
US$2.36
+13.0%
18.0%US$3.00US$1.95n/a4
Jan ’25US$1.86
US$2.43
+30.4%
18.9%US$3.00US$1.95n/a4
Dec ’24US$2.67
US$2.54
-4.9%
18.5%US$3.00US$1.95n/a5
Nov ’24US$2.18
US$2.77
+27.1%
13.1%US$3.00US$2.15US$1.427
Oct ’24US$2.01
US$2.77
+37.9%
13.1%US$3.00US$2.15US$1.617
Sep ’24US$2.13
US$2.74
+28.8%
12.8%US$3.00US$2.15US$1.428
Aug ’24US$2.51
US$2.97
+18.3%
18.5%US$4.00US$2.15US$1.598
Jul ’24US$2.53
US$3.49
+37.8%
23.5%US$5.00US$2.15US$1.898
Jun ’24US$2.42
US$3.49
+44.1%
23.5%US$5.00US$2.15US$1.788
May ’24US$2.23
US$3.74
+67.9%
28.7%US$5.50US$2.15US$1.548
Apr ’24US$2.38
US$3.74
+57.3%
28.7%US$5.50US$2.15US$1.498
Mar ’24US$3.12
US$6.70
+114.7%
33.8%US$11.00US$3.00US$1.969
Feb ’24US$3.38
US$8.41
+148.9%
36.4%US$15.00US$5.00US$2.098
Jan ’24US$2.51
US$8.41
+235.2%
36.4%US$15.00US$5.00US$1.868
Dec ’23US$3.70
US$8.88
+140.0%
31.3%US$15.00US$5.50US$2.678
Nov ’23US$6.34
US$11.56
+82.4%
35.4%US$22.00US$8.00US$2.188

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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