Stock Analysis

Investors Give Jowell Global Ltd. (NASDAQ:JWEL) Shares A 38% Hiding

NasdaqCM:JWEL
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Jowell Global Ltd. (NASDAQ:JWEL) shares have had a horrible month, losing 38% after a relatively good period beforehand. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 89% share price decline.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Jowell Global's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Specialty Retail industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.3x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

See our latest analysis for Jowell Global

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:JWEL Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 28th 2023

How Jowell Global Has Been Performing

Jowell Global has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to wane, which has kept the P/S from rising. Those who are bullish on Jowell Global will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Jowell Global will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

Jowell Global's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 23% gain to the company's top line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 240% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing that to the industry, which is only predicted to deliver 7.6% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this information, we find it interesting that Jowell Global is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance is at its limits and have been accepting lower selling prices.

What Does Jowell Global's P/S Mean For Investors?

With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Jowell Global looks to be in line with the rest of the Specialty Retail industry. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Jowell Global currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. There could be some unobserved threats to revenue preventing the P/S ratio from matching this positive performance. While recent revenue trends over the past medium-term suggest that the risk of a price decline is low, investors appear to see the likelihood of revenue fluctuations in the future.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Jowell Global (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Jowell Global's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Jowell Global is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.