Stock Analysis

JD.com (NasdaqGS:JD) Valuation in Focus as EV and Robotics Strategy Expands Beyond E-Commerce

JD.com (NasdaqGS:JD) is making headlines with the launch of its first electric vehicle and the rollout of a new humanoid robot for Chinese consumers. These technology-forward moves reflect the company’s growing ambitions beyond e-commerce.

See our latest analysis for JD.com.

JD.com’s fresh push into EVs and robotics comes as the company works to offset recent challenges, including tighter regulations around digital assets in China and shifting investor sentiment. While the share price has edged up nearly 9% over the last 90 days, the 1-year total shareholder return is still down more than 13%. This underscores the market’s cautious long-term view even as short-term momentum improves.

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With JD.com trading at a significant discount to analyst price targets despite positive recent momentum, investors have to ask themselves whether the market is underestimating JD.com's next phase or if its growth is already priced in.

Most Popular Narrative: 23.5% Undervalued

Compared to JD.com's last close price of $34.53, the most widely followed narrative assigns a fair value target of $45.12. This sets expectations high for a potential re-rating as fundamental drivers play out.

Ongoing investments in logistics, automation, and supply chain optimization (including adoption of AI and unmanned logistics) continue to reduce procurement costs, improve fulfillment efficiencies, and expand margins in the core retail segment. These initiatives support further gross margin and operating margin expansion over the long term.

Read the complete narrative.

Want to discover what numbers are powering such an optimistic scenario? One assumption is about margin expansion in JD.com’s core business, challenging the market’s cautious stance. Find out which bold projections and strategic shifts are tipped to drive this valuation.

Result: Fair Value of $45.12 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, fierce competition in food delivery and higher logistics costs could threaten JD.com's profitability if these new ventures do not yield expected returns.

Find out about the key risks to this JD.com narrative.

Build Your Own JD.com Narrative

If this outlook does not match your thinking or you want to dig into the details yourself, you're welcome to piece together your own story using our tools in just minutes. Do it your way.

A great starting point for your JD.com research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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About NasdaqGS:JD

JD.com

Operates as a supply chain-based technology and service provider in the People’s Republic of China.

Undervalued with excellent balance sheet.

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