Stock Analysis
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- NasdaqCM:HOUR
Hour Loop, Inc. (NASDAQ:HOUR) Stock's 27% Dive Might Signal An Opportunity But It Requires Some Scrutiny
The Hour Loop, Inc. (NASDAQ:HOUR) share price has softened a substantial 27% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. Looking at the bigger picture, even after this poor month the stock is up 26% in the last year.
Even after such a large drop in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Hour Loop's P/S ratio of 0.4x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Multiline Retail industry in the United States is also close to 0.9x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
See our latest analysis for Hour Loop
How Has Hour Loop Performed Recently?
Hour Loop has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to wane, which has kept the P/S from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Hour Loop's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Hour Loop?
Hour Loop's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 16% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 173% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
When compared to the industry's one-year growth forecast of 11%, the most recent medium-term revenue trajectory is noticeably more alluring
With this information, we find it interesting that Hour Loop is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.
What We Can Learn From Hour Loop's P/S?
Hour Loop's plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Hour Loop currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. When we see strong revenue with faster-than-industry growth, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/S ratio. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 4 warning signs for Hour Loop (3 are concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If you're unsure about the strength of Hour Loop's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Hour Loop might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqCM:HOUR
Hour Loop
An online retailer, engages in e-commerce retailing in the United States.