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Is Betterware de MéxicoP.I. de (NASDAQ:BWMX) Using Too Much Debt?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Betterware de México, S.A.P.I. de C.V. (NASDAQ:BWMX) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt A Problem?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Betterware de MéxicoP.I. de
What Is Betterware de MéxicoP.I. de's Net Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of December 2022, Betterware de MéxicoP.I. de had Mex$6.15b of debt, up from Mex$1.51b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have Mex$686.1m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about Mex$5.46b.
How Healthy Is Betterware de MéxicoP.I. de's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Betterware de MéxicoP.I. de had liabilities of Mex$3.25b due within a year, and liabilities of Mex$7.07b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of Mex$686.1m and Mex$1.09b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling Mex$8.54b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of Mex$6.87b, we think shareholders really should watch Betterware de MéxicoP.I. de's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Betterware de MéxicoP.I. de's net debt is sitting at a very reasonable 2.4 times its EBITDA, while its EBIT covered its interest expense just 3.6 times last year. While these numbers do not alarm us, it's worth noting that the cost of the company's debt is having a real impact. Shareholders should be aware that Betterware de MéxicoP.I. de's EBIT was down 30% last year. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Betterware de MéxicoP.I. de's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Betterware de MéxicoP.I. de recorded free cash flow worth 51% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
Our View
Mulling over Betterware de MéxicoP.I. de's attempt at (not) growing its EBIT, we're certainly not enthusiastic. But at least its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is not so bad. Overall, it seems to us that Betterware de MéxicoP.I. de's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Betterware de MéxicoP.I. de .
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Betterware de MéxicoP.I. de might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:BWMX
Betterware de MéxicoP.I. de
Operates as a direct-to-consumer selling company in the United Staes and Mexico.
Moderate growth potential with mediocre balance sheet.